I choose the bottom trend line like that cause I think after segwit it was too hyped and current correction kinda cooled it down and that's realistic long term. The red down TL is more out of curiosity but the upper green is def relevant and BTC has to break that triangle to the upside to be bullish.
"long term" trendline (~ 1 year) and 200 MA will cross near the edge of that huge (ascending) triangle, so the decisive moment is few weeks ahead. As long as COINBASE:BTCUSD stay above that long term trendline I'm very optimistic. And even if it croses it, there is still a chance of breaking out that triangle to the upside.
ichimoku just cross the chart, but 50d MA crossed 200d MA from above (but only by a lil - not crystal clear) and CME futures were due in 9 days that's why there was only a little correction on 9th december. But on 21th all ichimoku cloud went up and and 50MA - 200 MA cross was rapid so it fell under the trendline