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Joined Zürich
Markets Allocation
37 % forex 16 % commodities 16 % stocks 32 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
AUDUSD 15% | 3 GDX 10% | 2 HG1! 10% | 2 USDCHF 10% | 2
raczek raczek AUDUSD, D, Long ,
AUDUSD: Australian dollar on the way up
23 0 2
Australian dollar on the way up

Here's another chart showing the end of AUDUSD bear market. On the PnF chart the price has reached the bottom of multi-decade channel starting here from 1995. Long-term bull trend is just about to begin.

raczek raczek GDX, W, Long ,
GDX: Gold miners
55 0 0
GDX, W Long
Gold miners

This chart shows gold-miners GDX bottom achieved in Nov 2014, and currently possible double-bottom in play. Once the price closes above 22 and stays there on weekly-chart, we may experience a rapid move towards 30 and later above that level. I think it's the most probable scenario right now.

raczek raczek USDCHF, M, Short ,
USDCHF: USDCHF volatility signifies a serious tipping point
99 0 0
USDCHF volatility signifies a serious tipping point

In the last 2 months it was a real rollercoaster for USDCHF. The volatility is a sign of the very important breakpoint with serious monetary consequences. I bet US dollar will "win this currency war" and drop significantly from here, letting USDCHF to reach 0.70 again in coming years.

raczek raczek HG1!, M, Long ,
HG1!: Copper resilient enough to bounce and rise
23 0 0
HG1!, M Long
Copper resilient enough to bounce and rise

Copper resisted to drop farther, despite some potential to fall down to 2.10 - 2.00. The reversal at this point signifies copper should rise and break above 3.00. The 4.40 is the next target in 12-24 months.

raczek raczek AUDUSD, M, Long ,
AUDUSD: Australian dollar finally ready to rise
38 0 0
Australian dollar finally ready to rise

AUDUSD has dropped to a level where several support lines meet. The coming uptrend should last at least 12 months and the price should reach parity with US dollar.

raczek raczek XAUUSD, M, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold bull market starts here
212 1 3
Gold bull market starts here

Finally gold bottomed and now the rise could be very rapid, once it breaks the downtrend started in 2011. How long will it take to reach the upper bound of the great multiyear channel? Hard to say, but gold price should rise to 3000 dollars at least in coming years.

raczek raczek USDPLN, M, Short ,
USDPLN: Polish Zloty will rise for several years
48 0 0
Polish Zloty will rise for several years

The US dollar bull ends here. From now on emerging market currencies will rise, especially Polish Zloty. Poland is experiencing quite robust growth despite deflation and starting to have ongoing positive trade balance. The country is one of the biggest producer of copper and silver in the world and have fairly sound banking sector. Polish Zloty should be one of ...

raczek raczek SGK, M, Long ,
SGK: Agriculture commodities bottomed
45 0 0
SGK, M Long
Agriculture commodities bottomed

The chart shows S&P GSCI Agricultural Commodities Index that just bottomed in previous month, bouncing from the support line of multiyear channel. We can expect higher food prices in the next couple of years.

raczek raczek NY1!/USDJPY, M, Short ,
71 0 0
NY1!/USDJPY, M Short

Nikkei will no longer rise in dollar terms. On the above chart we can see a very significant resistance from a slowly falling channel started in mid nineties. So the question for Nikkei/JPY and Yen itself is whether Japanese central bank will go Venezuelan (or Zimbabwen) or will they halt its poisonous experiment. I bet on the second - in my opinion we can expect ...

raczek raczek USDJPY, W, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY about to crash badly
122 0 0
USDJPY about to crash badly

The recent rise of USDJPY shows many signs of a bubble. Speculative drive seems to ignore all kinds of alerts coming from Japan economy. Japanese central bank is playing with fire, loosing control. A closer look on technicals may help to find the stop for this madness. The reversal could be very sharp, so that long time trend started in 2012 should be broken down.

raczek raczek XAGUSD/EURUSD, M, Long ,
270 0 1
Silver in EUR

Priced in euros, Silver reached the lower edge of descending channel started in 2011. Most likely XAGEUR will rebound from here, making apparent breakdown of the longterm trend to be false. Buy silver in any currency - it's cheap.

raczek raczek GC1!/DOWI, M, Long ,
GC1!/DOWI: Gold vs Dow
54 0 1
GC1!/DOWI, M Long
Gold vs Dow

Gold has been performing poorly versus stocks in last years. Recent weeks was like a phase of capitulation. Here's another chart showing the possible bottom of this trend. I don't believe in a breakdown of gold farther down as this chart may suggest. Stocks are quite overpriced, therefore investors sentiment will shift into gold & silver from this point.

raczek raczek AUDUSD, M, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD will continue to drop
60 0 0
AUDUSD will continue to drop

Australian dollar is going to drop farther, down to 0.78 - 0.77, where several channels meet.

raczek raczek HG1!, M, Short ,
HG1!: Copper
25 0 0
HG1!, M Short

Copper is trapped in a descending triangle. The lower level is psychological 3 dollars, and the upper is a line of lower highs started in 2011. Will it break up or down? In my opinion it will crash like a shooting star.

raczek raczek XAGUSD/INX, M, Long ,
663 0 0
SILVER vs S&P 500

In this chart we can see Silver performance versus S&P 500. Relatively silver is undervalued and stocks are overpriced. It looks like silver is breaking the longterm channel started in nineties, but in my opinion it's a false breakdown. Looking at the bear market started in 2011, silver downtrend is overstretched. I expect a sharp rebound of silver while stocks to ...

raczek raczek GDX, D, Long ,
GDX: Gold Miners at the bottom
42 0 0
GDX, D Long
Gold Miners at the bottom

Another chart indicating the bottom in gold stocks is near. Here Gold Miners ETF price reaches the level last seen in the middle of 2008 credit crisis - the multi-year bottom.

raczek raczek GDXJ, D, Long ,
GDXJ: Junior Gold Miners ETF poised for a rally
27 0 0
GDXJ, D Long
Junior Gold Miners ETF poised for a rally

Gold miners stocks seem to be extremely undervalued. Some technicals indicate the bear market is going to an end, as gold stocks approach the lower edge of the 3-year PnF channel and they are about to bounce.

raczek raczek SI1!, D, Long ,
SI1!: Silver 40-year trend
55 0 1
SI1!, D Long
Silver 40-year trend

Another long term chart is screaming that silver bottom is happening right now. The price is about to touch the bottom of 40-year channel and the lower edge of the bear-market started in 2011.

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