Had an eventful month. Took some time to improve the Quant model to assess the risk and also to trade with better accuracy. Added new model to evaluate the volatility and volatility of volatility and predict it going forward along with the previous model that some of my readers are aware of. Current outlook is on AUDUSD, volatility is falling, and the signal shows...
This one got the attention. The volatility is just waiting on a spike. It is in a bearish longterm trend but short term the volatility can take it anywhere. Question is am I going to short it at the top? Probably will. but I'm a bit reckless, I'm teaching myself to wait for the confirmation of the signal (takes up to 2 days) Even though I put Short in the...
Hello Hello everyone, I was gone for some time now. Was in the midst of work and developing the code. Rest assured, I was trading the chop and testing the ability of v1.2 which now has a better guaging metrics for volatility. Still figuring out how I can publish these ideas here on tradingview, bare with me here during my learning process. Anyways, back to the...
Follow up to yesterday's plan, I didn't short since the signal is still bullish but immediate term showed bearish. I don't have the patience nor the skills to stare at the screen and execute. But let me try something new, I will trade with SL and TP, which is not really what I do but I figured let's give it a try. AUDUSD in the immediate term oversold, So I'm...
If you have read my previous plans, I have not explicitly posted anything on spy, but I have been writing about it is other plans (link below). What we have now is another ATH, and this time it is 4646, nice number eh? VIX is signaling bearishness to 14.5 at the lower end. Although SPY has a massive downside to 4500, it is still probable that the dips will be...
So, in some of the previous plan's descriptions (link below) I have been saying about shorting TLT, and I thought today it would be nice to share a standalone TLT idea, please let me know how it goes. Signal is extreme bearish, short term has an equal weights on upside to downside, and long term has a -3% downside. I will be adding puts to my core short positions...
You can see in my previous plan where signal went extreme bullish. Japan's economy is different from US. Modelling it quantitatively is also different. It is still seen as bullish by the signal at the moment, and the bullishness in the short and long term yields, I believe Nikkei will make a new ATH soon, but has a massive 3% downside potential too, so it's...
So, is it bullish? yes, does it have a massive downside potential? also yes. Looking at VXN, which is weak bullish, might be a sign to not buy it yet as NQ has a potential of 2% drop today, but is consensus anticipating this and going to short? may be, and if that happens, we might see nasdaq sky rocket from here. Like I said, I'm not smart enough to know all the...
What a beast this has been, and like I posted before about how I'm now going to actively manage my position, I was right, since that plan was posted to today, BTC hasn't moved. lol Am I still bullish? hell yea (but more on ETH, check my profile). I think we might dip to 55k or close to it, and I will buy more there, because I believe we have more juicy stuffs to...
This puppy kept on giving. And today, it shows some weakness in immediate term trade. I will be buying it a bit more and add to my core position. If DXY plan I posted few weeks ago works, then this would be really nice to have. PS. Each box span a day, and the code gives short term and long term trends as shown. the trend is shown with the color of the box. The...
Coming back after a break. I hope you guys have made some profits, if you followed the previously published plans in my profile, then of course you did. Follow up to EUR, If you have been following me for some time, you know I was shorting EURUSD, It worked well, everything's timestamped in the chart, but what's special about today?? Well, Signal thinks it is...
So, since last week I've been eyeing on DXY index, it went "purple" in signal terms and since yesterday it went bearish on the short term and played out pretty fine. (Check my idea on EURUSD yesterday). I went long of GBP and EUR as a trade (means, I already closed them in green). It takes 2-3 days for the signal to get stronger in detecting the trend. If it is...
Sooo, Silver started to creep in with a background bearishness. You can see my previous post on Gold and How it played out. I'm thinking of closing some gold shorts and start shorting silver here. At the top of the range. I hope, there will be a jump 20 mins into the US opening. Let's go PS. Each box span a day, and the code gives short term and long term trends...
Followup to the previous plans, You'll see that I sold almost all of my trade positions last week, but I'm still holding the a small long duration position throughout the winter. Today signal is short term bearish with "consolidation" background signal. Is it time to buy the dip? I don't know, Sometimes I would like to front-run the code, it is a pure gambling...
Previous plans worked pretty well, not so much of alpha generators. But + is always good. Signal is still bullish but, there is a higher low. DXY is kind of showing weakness in the signal too. I will stay out of it for now and keep my eyes on it. If there is a trend change, it takes at least 2-3 days for the signal to detect it. Let's see how it goes. Decreased...
Follow up to my previous plans, I bought the dip last 2 weeks when I posted those plans. Sold some here, because it is close to upper range. Signal thinks the dip is now at 77-76. Unless if someone fiddles with the numbers, if you know what I mean. lmao. Anyways, good luck this week PS. Each box span a day, and the code gives short term and long term trends as...
If you see my previous plan, you'll know where I went bullish on BTC, and I sold some in the purple box. Signal says "consolidation", but the correlation with DXY, which is bearish as of today, says BTC might go up (a lot). I'm not really good at managing these kind of risks, So, I will hold BTC in my portfolio, but I will not try and actively risk manage, at...
Just a follow up to my previous ideas. You'll see in my previous attached posts, even though my mind was bullish on this the signal wasn't and I'm happy I didn't do anything stupid. and Today the signal is volatility squeeze and "correction". I will not be trading this today, and I removed almost all of my long positions except few % I will leave. That's just my...