Multi-year breakout on a sustainable rally. An uncrowded trade.
SHORT SHORT SHORT into oblivion $25 puts
SPECULATION - based on the measured move of the head and shoulder. These things often do not play out BUT if it does that would be something wouldn't it?
Hidden in plain sight. A lot of junk in the Russel index but stil same story for commodities, value, etc. versus tech.
Keep shorting this junk. Inflation is here whether you like it or not.
Long MOS. Part of the commodity supercycle narrative.
LONG NVDA LONG TSM LONG KLAC LONG SEMIS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! But seriously, semis have broken out. I expect a test, but clearly semis have both cyclical and secular tailwinds. It is a no brainer to go long in a "bet the farm" type bet.
Oil field service stocks have not moved as much as other stocks in the energy sector (hydrocarbon exploration, natural gas producers, etc.). I believe more and more quant funds are going to exit their short positions in energy and that this will trigger a parabolic rise in all oil-related stocks. It's already happened in other stocks like Devon Energy, Cimarex,...
If it breaks the trend line could get ugly. Again, this sector has melted up quite crazily over the past few months and likely needs time to digest the gains.
Chart speaks for itself.
There is nothing really attractive about the sector other than macro dreams about a uranium supercycle ... I'll leave that to the governments to decide. But we can clearly see speculation by big money players into uranium equities. We can speculate by entering a call debit spread on the uranium ETF URA. URNM is a more concentrated bet on mining. Buy the $20...
Rising rates on the long-end are bad for gold and gold miners. If you want to make MONEY stay long copper and nickel miners (FCX, VALE, BHP, etc.). Also heavily long energy and financials. Don't get stuck with Peter Schiff, you will regret it.
Will momentum return after the big summer gap is filled and we enter into a bottoming process? Or are we in a fundamental downtrend?
There has recently been heavy dark pool selling of Apple shares. In general, it has weak relative strength. Buyers are likely to come in at these levels if it gets worse.
Tech looks weak over the past few trading sessions but it is only a matter of time till the pumpers come in again.
Oversold and now strong inflows after profit taking -- buy! February 19th $10 calls
JP Morgan: www.docdroid.net Heavily long SOXL
I've identified some price points based on analyst targets and the general trajectory of the industrial metals/commodities supercycle we're in. These LEAPs are attractive given the potential return.