DXY Dollar Index: Consolidating recent gains The dollar is consolidating recent gains after reaching a high at 94.06, some 14 points shy of the medium target here. My bad and not a fault in the chart, as there is old resistance at the 94.03 level from the end of last year, as the chart clearly shows. Sorry for that. Anyway DXY (and USD pairs) look like they...
EURUSD Update After rallying from the downside target off the 1.1721 line EUR has made it to the near term upside target centred around the 1.1821 line and been met with a barrage of persistant selling from there over the last 6 hours creating a series of rejection spikes above the line. If you shorted from here again lower the stop to 1.1787. It's been sold...
21st May EURUSD Week Ahead EUR has reached the medium term downside target at 1.1721 today after a low at 1.1718. Although it's rallied away from here as London opened as it should do, it's not likely to get very far, though. The first resistance potential is here at 1.1763, then a minor level at 1.1786 and then heavy at 1.1821-1.1836. It will need...
Bitcoin Weekend Trade Set-Ups It looks like we should get an interesting trade coming up here quite soon. Failure to hold on to 8300 will most likely force it back to the lower parallel of the continuation pattern shown at the bottom of this decline. On the downside we need to see a break below the lower small rising parallel and the support line 8230 to...
DXY Dollar Index Up 4.5% now and Approaching Upside Target at 94.20 After a brief period of consolidation off the early May highs DXY has continued onwards towards the longer term target at 94.20. it's rallied 4.5% in the last 30 days. At 94.2 it will be 5%. Stay long here and on USDEUR and USDGBP (see relevant charts) until we get there, or just under. It...
Bitcoin Update Finally, after two fake-ins as Bitcoin spiked above the upper dynamic of the triangle formation of yesterday and came back to the lower rising dynamic of the triangle on the first occasion and then to the apex of the triangle on the second occasion before finally reaching it's very modest updside target at 8450-8460 (high at 8483) before falling...
The continuing short squeeze across the oil complexes is shown quite graphically on the chart. The reverse head and shoulders here points to a minimum upside target on Brent at 90.61 so we can probably expect more of the same in the future. Near term resistance lies at 81.27, then 83.30 and then a little further out in time there should be a bigger jump in...
WTI USOIL After consolidating off the 66.48 line but never threatening long stops under here WTI has pushed 550 pips and more higher to 72.28 so far. It's a little overbought in the near term and looks like it will consolidate back to 70.69 and then bounce 150 pips or so - and then come back again, doing so 3 or 4 times before it pushes higher still. The...
Bitcoin (Bitstamp) Update Just flipping up and down inside the continuation pattern so far still. What looks like 3 minor waves up so far - can be another one soon but still the pattern here is not worth trading unless playing off the minor parallels for scalps right now. As before it has to break the 8468 line here for a rally to 8539 where there is quite a lot...
Bitcoin Sunday Trade Set-Ups A fairly active overnight session has seen Bitcoin move up to highs around midnight gmt, then down for 6 hours to 06:00gmt and 01:00est and then back up again, forming a fairly sketchy triangle as it moves through time. The last move down (green arrow) was corrective in pattern with 4 small waves down before it hit the lower...
Bitcopin Update Saturday 08:45gmt 03:45est So far the low this weekend is 8223, a couple of points below the next near term downside target at 8225. Bitcoin is now counter-rallying back to test the upper parallel at 8330-8350 and should come off again from here and from 8392 at highest before falling away to 8155 and ideally then to a low around 7946 on...
BTCUSD: Bitcoin Next Trades from Here 19:41gmt 12:41est This still looks corrective at this point. No big green impulse wave starting yet which would be the first signal that this is a real bottom here. It's the weekend coming up and still no sign of buyers in any numbers. But there is a chance so we need to cover it in case - it is holding here still at...
Bitcoin Trade Points Today Bitcoin was left looking at a counter-rally 'towards 9700 before it comes off again'. It took another 7 hours or so of whipsaw and confusion to get there but by 01:00 gmt/20:00est Bitcoin made a high at 9671, taking out more stops placed just below here in the mind-numbing game of Pacman/hunt the stop that lasted right through the...
ETHUSD As ETH continues to consolidate it's started to form a new pair of parallels at a less acute angle but it's holding up and making higher intermediate highs as it does so. The medium term trend remains positive whilst it continues to hold up off the lower parallel on all retests (the recent low was off the previous rally high) But in the near term it's...
GDOW Global Dow (USD) Step Up The Dow Global has made a similar pattern to the Dow itself with a double bottom at 2970, the second bottom picking up the longer term parallel. Since then it's got itself trapped within the same triangle formation we see on the Dow, still using the lower parallel as ultimate support on down-side tests.Whilst it continues to do so...
DJIA Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures The Dow has had a torrid time for 3 months now, falling 14% from the highs and bouncing three times directly off the longer term parallel underpinning the rally - and which had acted as major resistance right up to the point when the new President/Paradigm took office. Over those 3 months of wild gyration and whipsaw...
DXY Dollar Index Update May 8th The dollar continues its advance towards the target at 94.20 but in the nearer term it's just approaching the next resistance lines, closely positioned at 93.32 and 93.42. It should consolidate the last impulse here, coming back to test the lower parallel one more time before powering up to the target at 94.20. If day...
8th May EURUSD Update EUR made the counter-rally move back to the upper parallel precisely at 1.1978 before falling away again. Having failed to hold up at the 1.1910 level it is falling further as DXY continues its long-predicted rally. EUR should fall to 1.1815 and then bounce to the upper parallel again before falling away further still to 1.1721 as the...