tradeBob1

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About me Admirer of Cohen, Littleton and Brown University. Skilled at Sentiment Indicators. Wise enough not to Day Trade my own money.
Joined New York City
Life is good.
Markets Allocation
9 % stocks 91 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
TVC:SPX 59% | 13 FX:SPX 31% | 7 SPY 9% | 2
tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, M,
SPX: Multi-Year Growth Log Curve SPX
38 0 4
SPX, M
Multi-Year Growth Log Curve SPX

Just my thoughts. Bull then Bear over the next two years. Extremely difficult to estimate the top and the bottoms. But the Fib people are saying anywhere from 2500 to 3600 for a high, and then a low of equal size, or not. A lot depends on earnings, international growth models (EU and China), tax policies, energy costs and geo-politicals (wars). Some of these ...

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, D,
SPX: Wave 3 means up
62 0 4
SPX, D
Wave 3 means up

We appear to be in a wave 3. Direction is up. My concern is that valuations are high (average PE for SPX 500 is 17). When do valuations over-ride Elliot Wave? At some point valuations must be an upper constraint (resistance) to Elliot Wave. Anyone with at least 10 years of market trading experience, who can answer ... Thanks

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, 30,
SPX: Game Plan
44 0 4
SPX, 30
Game Plan

Trying some new techniques out. Today's game plan. A very small bet today. I see the market going sideways most of 2017. A lot will depend on the Federal Reserve this year, and Germany.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, D,
SPX: wave 5
153 2 6
SPX, D
wave 5

Elliot Wave Noob. Think we are in Wave 5 (the sucker wave up). Wave 3 is shortest - I know this violates official rules. If we are in wave 5, then top is around 2360. Comments. Again, learning wave theory. Trying to apply it, on paper.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, M,
SPX: Are we in a Long-Term Uptrend?
35 0 3
SPX, M
Are we in a Long-Term Uptrend?

Are we in a Long-Term Uptrend? Nervous about this market. Curious if anyone has any hard-facts on this question. The chart says yes; my heart says no.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, D,
SPX: Current Patterns
105 5 8
SPX, D
Current Patterns

After trianlge completes, look for another corrective structure. If the corrective structure is down, then this means the trend is still up. The corrective structure will probably last only 3 to 5 days. I think the Market is over-valued. I'm on HOLD for this market, until I see prices return to reasonable values.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: Best Guess
62 1 3
SPX, D Short
Best Guess

No one can predict the future. But we can guess. We were at A. Then we shifted down to B. I think we go back to A. Lots of options activity.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, 60, Short ,
SPX: The Cliff
54 0 3
SPX, 60 Short
The Cliff

1H chart on 5 day scale. Looks like a sell program. Probably based on strong dollar and strong pound. Happy Trading. The final two hours should be interesting today.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPY, 120, Short ,
SPY: Like This?
94 2 2
SPY, 120 Short
Like This?

Like This? Gradual Descent. So, you want to be short more than long. Wait for the resistance lines. Market feels sluggish. Range Trading. Marking Time.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPY, D,
SPY: SPY - Down Trend
89 0 5
SPY, D
SPY - Down Trend

Looks like a down trend. Bears in control. Lots of dojis. The volume has been on the down days. This is a hard market to trade, but there is a long-term pattern down. Happy Trading

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, 120, Short ,
SPX: spx
52 1 2
SPX, 120 Short
spx

See chart

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, 15,
SPX: Neutral Sloppy Range
47 0 3
SPX, 15
Neutral Sloppy Range

This is a one hour chart of SPX. The February line is acting as mild resistance. I would say we are moving into a range bound market, with lots of small triangles along the way. Range is 2150 to 2120. All the markets appear to be highly synchronized.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, 60, Short ,
SPX: in upper band
44 0 3
SPX, 60 Short
in upper band

There is a lot of up and down action. Bears > Bull, IMHO. But it's a tough fight out there. We are at 52 week highs though, so if you believe in reversion to mean, we probably go down the next few weeks. How far, no one knows.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, 60, Short ,
SPX: short
35 0 3
SPX, 60 Short
short

spx short down to 2130.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX, 60, Short ,
SPX: spx 2119
57 0 3
SPX, 60 Short
spx 2119

spx down until 2119.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX500, 30,
SPX500: Trading Range
96 0 6
SPX500, 30
Trading Range

See text in picture.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX500, 60, Short ,
SPX500: Near top of Trading Channel.
82 0 6
SPX500, 60 Short
Near top of Trading Channel.

I would be looking for short opportunities. Maybe a bear pin bar or harami.

tradeBob1 tradeBob1 SPX500, W, Long ,
SPX500: Long-Term SPX
43 0 2
SPX500, W Long
Long-Term SPX

Long-term trend is still up to sideways. Demand zone is 1800-1900. Supply Zone is 2120-2040. Buys are still buying. Bulls are still winning. Oct-Dec 2015 was a huge bear trap, in terms of volume. Jan-June 2016 was bulls unwinding. We are close to the bears giving up for the rest of the year.

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