idasuperman

I’ve discovered a new way to study price oscillators!(inAlaska?)

NYSE:ALK   Alaska Air Group, Inc.
I’ve discovered a new way to study price oscillators! And its not that complex... :)

Its possible to create an (average “high/low” wave oscillator) or what could be also a “oscillator of an oscillator” by graphing a (two) "sine wave" on top of a oscillator?! One sign wave that agrees/captures all the "highs" and another that captures all the "lows". You can maybe do this with "short waves" but I did this with long waves to think about "the earths seasonal effects and changes" on stock prices (for example in the airlines industry?) You can do this by making a (long wave) sine wave for the “high signals” and then also graphing a (long wave) sine wave of the low wave (maybe totally possible and interesting for short waves?). This is particularly helpful for understanding “long term” SEASONAL trends (im very interested in "cosmic factors" like weather and environment on stocks or "seasons" like spring, summer, fall and winter? for example the difference between prices this summer and this fall for the Airlines?

SEE GRAPH DETAILS: Green "PPO" graph (what I call a “seasonal” OSCILLATOR based on 3 months to 24 months timeframes) This is of course an estimate “on top of a regular price oscillator”. The result!? It shows an interesting problem this fall for the airlines?! Maybe technical analysis of securities is suppose to sound complex? ;)

Before I go into a further technical analysis first some interesting facts about Alaska.

Its interesting to look at a “flight route map” for all airlines. Most of Alaska’s Airlines flights are along the west coast in (for example) Seattle Washington Area and San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles California. However Alaska does fly to Boston, New York, and DC as well as Miami and Dallas and a lot of other smaller towns including the one that I live in. The flight map is interesting to see the (flight) bias. One interesting fact about Alaska Airlines is that many of their routes are too Universities including the “small” University Town in the town I’m located in.

I’ve tried to focus all my “predictions” based on “earnings” and also listed wikipedia “profits” have been going down for Alaska airlines for many years (since about 2016). In fact many companies around the world have been having problems since 2016?!? Almost every stock market did have a significant down in 2016 (and I’m still not sure why? Any ideas?) The number of passengers Alaska has been flying has been going up “slowly” and very very interestingly was starting to go down (slightly) between 2018 and 2019 by 100,000 less people?!

Technical Details about the Graph:
and (what I call) “High / Low Oscillators or Oscillators of Oscillators” ;)

The graph here studies Alaska Air Group (“INC”) mostly recently (< this past year) but within the context of things before the “virus recession virus”. I discovered an interesting “new wave” or “new way to study price oscillators” in the price oscillator that seems to make sense. I graphed a wave of the high and then in green also graphed the low wave and noticed that this shows a “downward” trend this fall even from the data we are seeing this spring/summer.

Another interesting point of “good news” for Alaska is that the volume oscillator seems to be on a positive (trend?)? The Volume Oscillator is shifted slightly “positive” which is a good sign! There was one “very significant” spike in “negative” volume around April 30th (which was recently) which suggested a “lack of interest” in investing in Airlines? (shift to other sectors/areas/industries/ideas/commodities?)

the PE Ratio was at “most” about 10 to 14 for the airlines in the past year… with a sudden good change in Alaska Airlines PE in December of 2019 or the “new years” 2020?

Anyway, this shows a “positive” price oscillator until about June of 2020?

Let me know what you think of the idea of a “High / Low Oscillators or Oscillators of Oscillators”?

:)

Asher!


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