While the price is above the support 78.65, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 83.90 breaks.
If the support at 78.65 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
There is a divergence in and price between the trough at 80.495 on 2018-03-23 and the trough at 78.68 on 2018-09-07, the probability of downtrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of uptrend is increased.
The downtrend #1 is broken, so the probability of beginning of uptrend is increased.
While the support #2 at 50 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
( ) is 61