FxWirePro

AUD/NZD short setup

Short
FxWirePro Updated   
FX:AUDNZD   Australian Dollar / New Zealand Dollar
AUD/NZD trades 0.06% lower on the day, extending downside after rejection at 20-DMA.
China-US heat-up in tariff threats keeps risk sentiment dented, weighing on the antipodeans.
Technical indicators are biased lower. RSI is weak below 50 levels and Stochs are biased lower.
The pair finds strong trendline support at 1.0615, we see weakness accentuate on break below.
Next major support below 1.0615 lies at 1.0567 (78.6% Fib) ahead of 1.0475 (88.6% Fib)
Focus now on Australia HIA New Home Sales figures for March and a speech from RBA Assistant Governor Kent due later this week for further impetus.

Support levels - 1.0615 (trendline), 1.0567 (78.6% Fib), 1.0475 (88.6% Fib)
Resistance levels - 1.0675 (5-DMA), 1.07, 1.0721 (61.8% Fib)

Good to go short on break below 1.0615, SL: 1.0675, TP: 1.0570/ 1.05/ 1.0475
Comment:
TP1 hit. Recovery lacks traction. Stay short.
Comment:
Breaks below 78.6% Fib. Hits fresh 8-month lows at 1.0526.
Comment:
Technical indicators are biased lower, we see scope for further downside.

Next bear target lies at 1.0485 (major trendline). Violation there could see further weakness.

Focus this week will be RBA Lowe's speech on Wednesday after last week's dovish showing from the RBA.

On the data front we have Australia’s business confidence, consumer sentiment and home loan approvals which could impact price action.
Comment:
Approaching TP2
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.