Using the fork channel tool and counting the major highs and lows I've put together this chart that may indicate where we are in the market cycle for BTC by comparing our current structure to the 2014 bear market cycle. I would note, the 2014 bear market was caused by major security threat FUD, while our current cycle is price adjustment, so one may assume our current cycle is more and less likely to have multiple flash crashes but instead push the boundaries on how low it can go with out creating drastic new lows.
The chart really explains itself. Match each drawing tool to the 2014 cycle and you'll see that Sept 19th was the turning point back in 2015 and the patterns are eerily similar to our current cycle. Happy trading! I'm going long :)