BITCOIN - Really Strong Resistance!

COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
Today, BTC price got a movement upwards and currently, it is slightly above the one of the round number $5,500. The price approaching the major upwards target area which is the blue box. Finally, we can make and count some of the reversal/target criteria which could be a starting point to make a little correction downwards. Target criteria because, if you are short-term long on BTC then this area should be the profit taking area. Several price action criteria matching each other in one area and soon we can find out, do this area works as a strong resistance or not because this area plays a very important role on mid-term perspective or even a long-term perspective.

Major criteria:
1. Fibonacci retracement levels inside the blue box:
- 38% retracement level: pulled from the 2018 May high to the 2018 low point.
- 61.8% golden ratio: pulled from the 2018 September high to the 2018 low point.
Those levels matching with each other and those retracement levels should act as pretty strong resistance levels.
2. Orange lines just below the $5,800 are the major support levels from the past year but now, they should start to work as resistance levels and again, they are on the blue box.
3. The upward channel upper trendline (blue line) third touch is exactly in this blue area. Individually it is not the tradeable criterion but again, it is on the blue box where those all comes together in one area and together they can make some impact on the price.

Subjective criteria:
4. Slight RSI Divergence on the 4H but also on the 1H, compared with the first higher high on the graph.
5. Fibonacci extensions
6. Some sloppy chart patterns target area is the blue box - a breakout from the smaller ascending channel and a breakout from a bit sloppy Inverted Head & Shoulders targets.
7. Altcoins are on the plus side but not so deep. They reacted to this move but too slowly and this could be a little sign that only BTC gets "pumped".

So, we have three major criteria and 4 a bit subjective criteria which support that area, that blue box area at $5,700-$5,850. If the price reaches into to the mentioned box, then look at altcoins, if they are still stable (not on the deep plus side) then it would be another confirmation which will drive the price back downwards.

If you are on the short-term long position then this area should be definitely the place where you have to consider to take some profits because the resistance is pretty strong. If the price reaches into the blue box, then I start to make more frequent updates and maybe we can catch some bearish candlestick pattern to get more confirmations.

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*This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell, it is used for educational purposes only!
Comment: The Daily candle closed above the 5.5k (this year's highest close) and this could be a sign that the price may go and test this area which is marked as a blue box.
Altcoins are still on the minus side so, let's see the setup is still valid.
If it starts to go then the rejection area could be a little bit higher than before, between $5,777-$5,900.
Comment: Alert! There are a movement and the movement guided the price below the 5.5k. The 4H candle close confirms it and also altcoins are on the deeper minus.
The last 4H candle is a bearish candlestick pattern called Engulfing and this could be a possible starting point to make a correction downwards. It occurred just a little bit earlier than expected but let's see, definitely pretty strong bearish signs.
Comment: If the correction starts, then you have to know where is the good areas where to enter into the market/altcoins. Here are the quick altcoins technical analysis:

Comment: After yesterday's move below the 5.5k, the price has been stable, altcoins have made some small recoveries but nothing significant. The bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern guided us also back below the channel middle line, which is also a slight bearish "break-below" sign.
Currently, $5,400 has held the price several times which will be a sign that still(!), we might see a bounce to the mentioned target 5,777-5,900, as you read and as you see, definitely, nothing certain because we don't have any bigger confirmations.

On the Daily timeframe, we have a candlestick pattern called Inside Bar. If the price makes a breakout from either direction then it would be a short-term confirmation (break below or above the blue lines).
Definitely, a bigger and more important confirmation would be a downwards breakout because the yesterday's candle was bearish and it got a close below the round number $5,500, so, you should watch that $5,376-$5,400 level very closely.
Comment: New BTC analysis:

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Have a great weekend!
Let's see how it goes!

Day traders have ruined this market.
Good effort overall Vaido. Your orange line is the previous 1W Support that turned Resistance. I also believe we have a pull back incoming.

+1 Reply
VaidoVeek TradingShot
@TradingShot, thank You and thank You for sharing. Yes, I think that it gonna play a pretty significant role in the current movements.
The 52W MA is right above the current action at $5680; which is what I am watching right now. Also, the 1D is also printing a bearish divergence...
Perfect execution of Elliott Wave by Bitcoin. One chart covers 11 days of trading with no updates needed. If you want to trade like this, DM me.
Bitcoin Adam and Eve heading straight to targets, correction time is nearer than before.

I agree with the flag interpretation. Also, check out the little flag within the big flag :-)

+1 Reply
I think the current is similar to the bottom of 2015. What do you think? Please give me a advice.

Thank you for the analysis.

The golden cross is about to happen on the daily chart

We expect a correction but to $4500 or higher.

Indicators show the price saturation but Ichimoku Cloud is in the strong bull mode. We may have a retrace to the top of the cloud which is at $5300.

We will keep you updated.

+2 Reply
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