Mansasuma

Bitcoin is on the edge of a cliff

Short
Mansasuma Updated   
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Welcome!

This is an update on my previous Bitcoin analysis, which you can find here:


Since then not much has changed. Yes, Bitcoin did make another move higher, ultimately reaching 16.5k but the danger signs that the market is likely near a major top are still very much present.

What you see on the indicator below is the curling of the 12H stochs over time. As you can tell a trend line has formed and so far it has been heavily respected, giving you several great entry points along the way.

However, at some point that trend line will inevitably get broken and once it does that´s when I expect the big correction to happen.

Does BTC first move slightly higher, to 16.8k or so, makes a new high and traps fresh longs before cascading to the downside or does this next move happen from the current price point?

I´d say the first scenario is a bit more likely but ultimately...

... time will tell.
Comment:
We got another retest of the trend line and once again it held.

It seems likely that we get another test higher, maybe to 17.5 or 18k however things are getting increasingly dangerous.

When that trend line breaks, it´s going to get ugly and that´s when I expect a big drop to the downside.

Comment:
This trend line really was the goose that lays the golden eggs. In hindsight, all you had to do was just long each time stochs came down to retest it

With that being said, it looks like it´s finally about to break in the next 24 hours

when it does, expect things to get nasty

Comment:
Trend line got broken and things turned nasty very fast

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.