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BTCUPDATE - 200 SMA + Ichi Cloud Sideways Sandwich

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Not surprisingly - at all - BTC got rejected by the daily 200 SMA on its first attempt to break it. It was never going to break the daily 200 SMA on first attempt after a massive rally.

On the positive side, though, for the bulls, BTC has now found support on top of the daily ichi cloud, and if it can consolidate here for a few days between the ichi cloud and the 200 SMA, and keep testing the 200 SMA, the next move will, more likely than not - although it's certainly not a given - be to the upside.

This is an area ripe for market maker games and there is going to be a ton of retail trader REKAGE here. Traders who missed the long from the late 7Ks/early 8Ks are pissed and determined not to miss the next leg up, so they will be nervously FOMOing in with every little $20 or $30 upswing, then having to jump back out at a loss when it goes back down. Shorters, on the other hand, will be mistakenly trying to catch a peak/top and will be getting liquidated from upside wicks and/or backing out of their positions when it goes down and then comes back up.

Just be careful. If you're not already in a successful trade/long here from the lower 8ks/upper 7ks (or lower), you need to sit out and watch for now.


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