Fed liquidity supports markets

Morning folks,

BTC now follows to common tendency that we see on all markets - FX, stocks, bonds etc. But this is not the change of the trend, this is not the breakthrough in the mind of investors, guys. This is just liquidity pumping from the Fed. Although QT programme should start in June, in recent two months Fed "returned" back ~ $200 Bln, and this is the major reason of current upside performance.

So, this pullback is temporal, the party will be over soon and we do not change our long term bearish view, when BTC could reach 11-12K area.

Meantime, although upside action has not erased yet the butterfly pattern that we've discussed last time, chances for its erasing are significant. This makes us to not consider taking any new shorts by far. By looking at 4H chart, we have two major targets - COP around 31.75K and potentially to major daily area around $34-34.50K. If you would like to take part with this action - you could consider intraday 29.75-29.78 K-area and 29.10 major 5/8 Fib support for position taking.

In a longer term, current upside action could change the shape of the price a bit tactically, but it doesn't change the fundamental background, so reversal down will happen just with other patterns, say daily "222" Sell from 34K area. Just as example... but it will happen anyway... ;)

Take care.