VaidoVeek

BITCOIN - Levels Where We Can Jump Onto The Wave!

Long
VaidoVeek Updated   
BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Hello Followers and other TradingView users!
Several hours ago we managed to push through the super-strong resistance level! This move was supported from last week candle close which was a nice "Hammer" candlestick pattern and indicates that the bull move may come!
Now, when we have a breakout from the consolidation area we would like to search some long (buy) opportunities, yes, still it is a counter-trend and we have to watch carefully the price action from following levels!

I marked up two levels where we could see a continuation bounce upwards (technically good entries):

The first level to watch is around $6620 and the criteria:
1. Pullback touches first wicks from 10.08, 15.08 and 18.08
2. Fibonacci pulled from 21.08-22.08 38% retracement level
3. Fibonacci pulled from the last strong candle low to the high - 62% retracement level
4. Supported by 2h chart 200EMA

Second and the main area criteria $6480-$6533:

1. The strong resistance becomes support
2. The bigger Fibonacci retracement level 38% (pulled from 14.08-22.08), matches exactly with round number $6500
3. The smaller Fibonacci retracement level 62% (pulled from 21.08-22.08), matches with Oct. high $6481
4. Breakout trade - buy/sell when the price retest the breakout area - so we have retest area exactly on this box
5. 1h chart shows that this area is supported with different EMA's and 4h chart, we have around this area 50 EMA and 100 EMA
6. Last week candle close was bullish
7. Yesterday candle close was "Railroad Tracks" candlestick pattern and bounce from the trendline since 15.09.2017

So, we need to watch closely those two levels if we want to enter the trade and closely means: we need definitely a nice price action. Price action means: we need a candlestick pattern or a chart pattern or nice volume from the mentioned areas!

Hopefully, this helps You out a little bit to confirm Your own analysis! DEFINITELY make Your own research and if You don't understand some of my points or I miss calculate something then please leave a comment!
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Thank You for your support!

Comment:
Like we have planned the first small pump happened from the $6620 but there is low volume and we need some candlestick pattern to confirm that!
1h chart - we have invalid "Hammer"
2h chart - close to "Hammer" because the body is a bit big
3h chart - we have a nice "Hammer" but at the moment we fight with the 200EMA (works as a resistance) and if it breaks above then it would be also sloppy "Morning Star"
So, at the moment I would wait and if we drop then it would be another opportunity on the lower levels and if we get some confirmation here then I will say that!
Be patient!

Comment:
Please don't look at this "Trade bar", I measured the candle lengths!!
Comment:
No confirmation and no volume at the moment! 3h still fights with the 200ema and looks like EMA win this battle! So, yet, no trade in this price level!
Please, hit the LIKE button if you feel this topic deserves it!
I keep You posted!

Comment:
Right now we could see that there are correct LH (lower high) and LL (lower low) formations on the 15 min. chart, if we want to take a trade here then we need definitely an HH, that breaks the current short-term market structure and if we get higher high then we can search some other confirmations from the higher timeframes!
Until then, nothing tradeable!
Comment:
Just a little bit deep but let’s watch price action on this level now!

Comment:
Let’s start to collect some data:
In the 15 min chart we have a tweezer bottom. The last 1h candle has a low volume at the moment this hour looks important because here are more volume!

Comment:
At the moment the April low holds us but definitely nothing remarkable and tradable!!
Comment:
Technically we are so screwed if the daily candle closes like the current price, just a massive candle from today! But today is not over, if we want to see something good from the next days then we have to push the price above $6500 but this is just SO unlikely!! Now we have to wait what the fundamental can do with BTC price (or we see it at the moment)
So luckily we don't enter to any trade and if someone made Sell orders then cheers!! :)
Hopefully, You like my thought process today, patient is the key!
Comment:
ALERT...actually, we might see something good from this price level, Bart moves are here again!
Yesterday, we touched pretty deep prices but we got from there a nice price action criteria:
₋Fibo pullback exactly 62%
-Bounce from the mentioned support level (blue line)
-Bounce from/close above the trendlines
-And in the 15 min chart, we could see an inverted H&S pattern

Now is pretty clear also that if we get a candle close below the $6340 and don't get a quick bounce upwards then it would confirm bearishness!
To be bullish the price must stay above the trendlines!
But we have to be very-very cautious because the yesterday's candle was massive and looks like an easy sell if we close below the trendlines!
I keep You posted!
Comment:
So far my short-term bullish bias (watching closely BUY opportunities) is alive when we don't have a candle close in this red area/under the trendlines and under the $6340!

Comment:
At the moment we try to make a breakout from the "ascending triangle" and also in the 1h chart, we have a nice "engulfing" candlestick pattern to support this move! Still, the volume is not so big but the columns show as some very small gains!
1h Engulfing and 1h close were the highest today!
Comment:
Last 4h candle gave to us an engulfin candlestick! Pattern is bull-ISH but still, we got a close below the 50ema! We got something but nothing tradable! Still in this bad price area and the fundamental 'area' so, be careful!!
Comment:
Still no clear direction! Sorry, I'm on my phone but there You can see some boxes what should confirm some directions! Before those boxes we just guessing, like You see both levels holding pretty nicely and soon we could see a massive candle again but which direction - boxes confirm that!! (need at least 1h candle close in this area or above)

Comment:
MY NEW IDEA!
Have a nice day!

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