PHASE D

거의 다 왔드아

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ETH

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break below 9100 will accelerate downside to 8.5
break above 9300 will accelerate upside to 9.5 and 9.8 (very unlikely)

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BTC -> 8267
ETH -> 195
is my soft target if it breaks down.

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*ETH -> 175

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if so, we could have another lpsy rally towards 9.5ish

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overall

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rinse & repeat

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1st circle touched.
doesn't seems like acceptance happens yet.

snipboard.io/uxADWB.jpg

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i would like to see btc sucks all dominance again with drop ( or pump? )

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if btc drop, 9100 ish is another demand area that has been built.
and if we can support, would expect we have more failed volume rally toward 9.5 area.

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acceptance - initiative

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snipboard.io/lSpGyb.jpg

delta positive -> negative

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Phase D: Phase D arrives after the tests in Phase C show us the last gasps of demand. During Phase D, price travels to or through TR support. The evidence that supply is clearly dominant increases either with a clear break of support or with a decline below the mid-point of the TR after a UT or UTAD. There are often multiple weak rallies within Phase D; these LPSYs represent excellent opportunities to initiate or add to profitable short positions. Anyone still in a long position during Phase D is asking for trouble.

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nothing changed. stick with a plan until it invalidate.

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macroview small tf

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ETH

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PSY—

이전보다 볼륨이 커지며 시장에 더 큰물량이 나오고 있다는 것을 뜻합니다.

BC—

시장은 구매지수가 최고에 달했다는 것을 보여줍니다.

AR-

BC 이후에 적극적인 매수를 줄어들었음을 보여주며
보통 AR 은 TR 의 하단부를 정의하게 합니다.

ST-

시장에 남은 수요/공급을 확인하기 위하여
이전 BC 의 고점 근처 혹은 그 고점을 돌파합니다. (UT,UTAD)
이를 확인 하기 위해서는 적은 수요가 ( 올라갈때의 볼륨과 밸런스)
확인되어야 합니다.

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distribution or accumulation / distribution (2019.09)

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For ETH

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Classic distribution in orderflow.
agg net selling while retail fomo in.

Trade closed manually:

opened short , stop above last high.
not sure if it is mark up.