Bitcoin Starting Wave III run to ~20,000 with ~16,250 S/L
Bullish continuation for D1 through W1 on BTCUSD after confirming the higher high on the D1 timeframe from late December. W1 timeframe showing promise to close near the late November weekly high, confirming the higher low from mid November and continuing up towards 20,000 with a stop loss around 16,250.
Entry at ~17,000 should have a good Return to Risk ratio of 3:1 but a drop to ~16,650 is possible. Using the same S/L would yield ~9 R/R. I would suggest starting a small position at ~17,000 and adding down to ~16,650 with all stop losses at ~16,250.
Targets and Stop Loss are based on fib retracements and expansions and a bit of a fast and loose Elliot Wave, assuming the run from ~15,460 to 18,450 was Wave I. Wave III will target the 20,000 area since Wave IV should be approximately half of Wave II and needs to start above where Wave I ended.
Entry at ~17,000 should have a good Return to Risk ratio of 3:1 but a drop to ~16,650 is possible. Using the same S/L would yield ~9 R/R. I would suggest starting a small position at ~17,000 and adding down to ~16,650 with all stop losses at ~16,250.
Targets and Stop Loss are based on fib retracements and expansions and a bit of a fast and loose Elliot Wave, assuming the run from ~15,460 to 18,450 was Wave I. Wave III will target the 20,000 area since Wave IV should be approximately half of Wave II and needs to start above where Wave I ended.
Trade closed: target reached:
Target for Wave III reached and exceeded. See linked idea for upcoming trades
