peter-l

A clear wave of five waves ended, and Bitcoin had a short breath

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Bitcoin has been so weak recently that the total market value has reached 40%, a new low since 2018. The rise of copycat coins and Musk's constant denigration made Bitcoin a little out of reach. But Wang will always be king. Without Bitcoin, I don't know if the digital money market can survive, because 99% of tokens come from Bitcoin. Of course, history will always be subverted, and one day the digital money market will be replaced. But for now, Bitcoin is still the soul of the market. If Bitcoin falls 90 percent, most tokens will return to zero.

Far from it, there are things that require historical falsification, which is not the key for secondary market traders.

We may be more concerned about today or tomorrow's trading points. Back to the chart, here is a clear wave of 5 waves down ,30, about a week. From time to space, there should be a decent rebound here. But from the day line, the long-term box at any time to break, the day line macd short trend has not changed, the average line ma144 lost. Panic index fell below 20, can be said to be embattled in all directions. But I believe that the market has a strong law of its own, we should not use their subjective will to judge the trend of the market. It's a favor.
There must be a 2-hour rebound, the difference is space. If we look at the rebound caused by the two bottom deviations, it should be a challenge in theory ma144, but we can't rule out the possibility of a rebound in time. So this is the principle of trading.

I have always stressed that the right-hand standard, which is not limited to buying, stop loss or stop earnings, is also valuable.
macd+ma operation, in the past period of time has been fully verified. When we fell to about $45000 on May 13, we proposed that this would be a two-hour L chart (about how the L chart works, my history article can search), and we tend to double-dip, forming a bottom deviation and rebounding. But I gave a limit ma36, that's the key to a lot of people who do n' t understand deviations (many question the validity of deviations because they don't add limits to deviations). macd deviation has proved to benefit from it ma36, so we have avoided the technology trap perfectly.

And now, I think, the probability of this secondary deviation is very large, and the probability of rebound is also very large. Similarly, we still have to add a limit to the deviation, ma18. if we break through, in theory we look at two rebound heights, one is D front point, the other is the ma144. point Of course, any analysis is based on the principle of probability, so operational insurance is transaction discipline. When the rebound fails and triggers the stop loss index, remember to leave. (If you expect every judgment to be correct, you might as well expect time back)

30年的A股投资经历,水平虽然不高,但经验足够丰富。熊市避坑,牛市逃顶,对于新手可能有所帮助。
需要每日分析,请搜索微信号peter-tqbj,需要股市投资建议搜索星球{抱团取暖,迎接A股牛市},或者星球号64802450
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