SalN

Bitcoin update "short term"

Short
SalN Updated   
COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
being that the these 5 waves up ended just a hair above the 38% retracement I do not think that this larger wave 4 is finished just yet. As I recently said...Since the larger wave 2 ended under the 50% retracement... I am expecting this wave 4 to end above the 50% and closer to the 61% retracement. If I am correct then the move should resemble something like what I have drawn. So up to around the $10,000 mark and then down for the final larger 5th wave drop. Calling a bottom is not really easy and is kind of ever changing.. So while it is possible to have a double bottom. I am thinking we go a little lower.
Comment:
As we gather more info....longer term targets will get better. But I have three..
Pardon the clutter...I am not going to erase my short term fib measurements
1st an probably the most likely target for now is the green oval. That would be the bottom of one trend line and just a little overshoot of the 78% retracement.

2nd target is the 100% measurement of wave 3...assuming wave 4 ends around the $10,200 range and would also be the bottom of what could be called the C wave channel (colored blue). And the last, least likely target is the long term uptrend line. You never know...you might get one of those fast capitulation moves
Comment:
One last little thought update.
I am looking at the possibility that we simply end the 5th wave in an ending diagnol and follow the red pattern. THe reason why I was thinking that is because I changed over to the daily and it is starting to look impulsive which would fit being that wave 2 was not impulsive.
The daily chart is below.
Comment:
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