SalN

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Joined USA, San Diego, CA
Markets Allocation
46 % stocks 7 % indices 7 % commodities 40 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
JNUG 42% | 51 XAUUSD 16% | 20 TVC:SPX 14% | 17 SP:SPX 7% | 9
SalN SalN NG1!, 1D, Long ,
NG1!: natural gas
319 1 6
NG1!, 1D Long
natural gas

I have been trading these larger swing over the last few weeks and have been pretty accurate. Todays reversal was a happy site. But this pattern is anything but simple. I don't think we are in a typical short term, ABC due to the pattern. And there was a bullish divergence that appears to be starting to play out. The BBands on the daily are very very tight. ...

SalN SalN BTCUSD, 1D, Long ,
BTCUSD: bitcoin
172 1 3
BTCUSD, 1D Long
bitcoin

Just my 2 cents of where I see it going. GL

SalN SalN NG1!, 1M, Long ,
NG1!: Natural Gas "my long term perspective"
350 9 9
NG1!, 1M Long
Natural Gas "my long term perspective"

This is the monthly chart for Nat Gas. As you can see I think we are nearing the next push up to finish a large B wave. But if you look at the time frame...it could be a while until such a big move happens. Short term thought....I think we are going to be starting a 3rd subwave up soon. Hope this helps a little bit. https://www.tradingview.com/x/i1FbkGHv/

SalN SalN SPX, 1M,
SPX: SP500 My perspective -start to present
1019 5 10
SPX, 1M
SP500 My perspective -start to present

I did this once before last year but I thought it is good once again to repost how I see the market, since inception in the early 1900's to today. From my perspective, we are nearing the completion of a supercycle 5th wave. And as you can see from the chart (which trading view does not go back to the beginning...see a historical chart if you want), supercycle ...

SalN SalN XAUUSD, 1D,
XAUUSD: Jnug to Gold
501 1 6
XAUUSD, 1D
Jnug to Gold

Just a little update to how I am currently seeing gold price behavior and the pattern that lies ahead. It makes sense. This next push should bring gold up to the $1400 range and then be the end of the large B wave. You know what comes next right!? The big C

SalN SalN SPX, 240,
SPX: SP500 spx spy
1572 8 22
SPX, 240
SP500 spx spy

This is my best estimate. While we could possibly already be in the C wave down and finishing up on a minor wave 2....I am thinking that the FED may continue to do the same as before and prop the market up into the FOMC meeting on March 15th. This is just a guess. If that is the case then perhaps we can reach near the 2800 level again before starting a 5 wave ...

SalN SalN NATGASUSD, 1D,
NATGASUSD: Natural Gas Ugaz Dgaz
434 0 8
NATGASUSD, 1D
Natural Gas Ugaz Dgaz

So this wave count is nearly impossible to make out. But I believe that we are near the top of the beginning diagonal and should make a brief correction soon. I tried to get a measurement of the beginning of the wedge for a measured move down. Interestingly it is nearly perfect with a .618% Fib assuming I lined up with the correct bottom. The volume is ...

SalN SalN NATGASUSD, 30, Long ,
NATGASUSD: Natural Gas "going up Finally"
183 0 3
NATGASUSD, 30 Long
Natural Gas "going up Finally"

Here on a smaller time frame....I am expecting another push up tomorrow to complete the larger wave 1. I will probably sell at that point and buy the dip. Hoping for a .618% pullback before the real big run starts. GL

SalN SalN BTCUSD, 1D,
BTCUSD: BitCoin update
307 2 4
BTCUSD, 1D
BitCoin update

SO with this latest move up surpassing the $10825 mark, that means this was not a wave 4 but instead is another X wave. The question is, will this push past the downtrend line or fail to create another a, b, c pattern down. I think it is going to fail. But before I describe that, lets examine the smaller time frame. 2 Hour ...

SalN SalN SPX, 1W, Long ,
SPX: SP 500 "weekly view"
494 1 7
SPX, 1W Long
SP 500 "weekly view"

SO obviously we are in the supercycle 5th wave. Inside that, we are in the 3rd wave. Inside that 3rd wave we have just completed the smaller degree 4th wave (even thought it felt big) and are about to trek up for that smaller degree 5th and complete the larger 3rd wave. The drop for the larger 4th should be huge and impulsive just like this last drop. I was ...

SalN SalN JNUG, 60,
JNUG: Jnug to Gold "bottom was on target, now where"
1029 7 7
JNUG, 60
Jnug to Gold "bottom was on target, now where"

So we bottomed at $11.37. I was thinking somewhere between the $11.50 - $11.30 range. So that worked out well. But it appears to me that we only completed wave three down and still have to do wave 4 and 5. So wave 4 should top a little over the $14 dollar mark before dropping to a much lower low...(too early to call but maybe in the mid $8 range).

SalN SalN BTCUSD, 30, Short ,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin update "short term"
247 1 5
BTCUSD, 30 Short
Bitcoin update "short term"

being that the these 5 waves up ended just a hair above the 38% retracement I do not think that this larger wave 4 is finished just yet. As I recently said...Since the larger wave 2 ended under the 50% retracement... I am expecting this wave 4 to end above the 50% and closer to the 61% retracement. If I am correct then the move should resemble something like what ...

SalN SalN NGH2018, D, Long ,
NGH2018: Natural Gas "It just Dawned on me"
225 0 3
NGH2018, D Long
Natural Gas "It just Dawned on me"

I was laying on my couch thinking about NG and wondering what in the hell is going on with it. Then it dawned on me. After years of a bear market for natural gas, We are in a corrective ABC pattern. DUH, right. So then I was wondering about the last month of this uptrend and how complicated it was and thought, what if we had an ending diagnol for the A wave ...

SalN SalN BTCUSD, D, Short ,
BTCUSD: Bit Coin "Wave 3 of C is complete. NEXT Wave 4 bounce to 10,000"
870 8 3
BTCUSD, D Short
Bit Coin "Wave 3 of C is complete. NEXT Wave 4 bounce to 10,000"

And then the 5th wave down for C. I am estimating a mid March. This bounce may only last a week so be careful with whatever you are in. It appears that Bitcoin drags everything else with it....up and down. I cant wait to buy Tron at .025

SalN SalN SPX, 240, Short ,
SPX: SP500 " This is not the big one yet"
698 7 12
SPX, 240 Short
SP500 " This is not the big one yet"

This is only the 5% drop that I was talking about. I was hoping it started a week or two later but oh well.

SalN SalN JNUG, 60, Short ,
JNUG: Jnug to Gold "The drop is still not finished"
251 1 1
JNUG, 60 Short
Jnug to Gold "The drop is still not finished"

Here is the 1 hour chart for Jnug. We are in the 5th wave down.....but we are only in the mini 3rd wave of this 5th wave. I wouldn't be surprised if Jnug hits below the $11.50 range. GL

SalN SalN SPX, 120,
SPX: sp500   a little more
253 1 3
SPX, 120
sp500 a little more

I think I can see it.. Yes this has been very tricky. When I see it bust through then I wait to see what the market wants to show me and adjust. As you can see,....IT APPEARS...LOL....like we are if the final wave 5. Today was a small wave 4 and we should move up in the next day or two. Since the larger wave 1 was the longest, wave 5 cant be longer than wave ...

SalN SalN JNUG, 240, Short ,
JNUG: Jnug to Gold "Down"
357 0 3
JNUG, 240 Short
Jnug to Gold "Down"

So it appears that gold is finally rolling over. Jnug is already responding. On this 4 hour (and you can check the smaller time frames) it appears that this 1st wave down is complete. You can count 5 small waves down. Don't be surprised if we get a large 61.8% to 78% Fib Pop tomorrow for wave 2. Then I would absolutely be in JDST. It is hard to pick a bottom ...

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