IvanLabrie

BTCUSD: Estimated path from here onwards...

Long
IvanLabrie Updated   
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
This is just an application of Time@Mode rules and fundamentals (and sentiment) to plot what the Bitcoin chart will possibly look like over time according to my analysis.
I'll be monitoring sentiment and fundamentals to determine if we do bottom and start basing here, or if we will test the next support level below, since there is an active 2-week time-frame downtrend still active as per the chart on the left. The 2-month bars show a potential level where the next long term mode will form, similarly to the level we saw form at $442 from 2013 to 2015, before starting to trend steadily up when breaking up from it.
The next bull run will also adhere to Time@Mode logic, like any trend does, so we can already guesstimate even how high and for how long it may go, with moderate accuracy right now.
This is subject to change over time, but most of the structure for the trend is already set in place. I expect to maintain 75% of this analysis intact, or more.

Cheers,

Ivan Labrie.
Comment:
$BTCUSD found buyers at the 200 week EMA level, this is why we see a range expansion up move here...interestingly, sentiment shifted back to bullish on the spot in social media
I expect this strength to fade after buyers run out of ammo...and miners keep pummeling longs
big mining firms can survive with btc at $1500, easily, since they have locked in contracts with big hydro power sources, to have 0.02usd kwh rates for like 2-3 years according to research I've read about.
Would be a good level to induce capitulation on smaller mining firms, to let Bitmain and others regain market share...and stop forcing prices down. Reminds me of the dynamics we had when oil was falling due to Saudis constantly increasing production to force shale oil out of the equation, right before oil bottomed long term.

🔒Want to dive deeper? Check out my paid services below🔒

ivanlabrie.substack.com/
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.