TradersMission

BTC Medium Term Upside, Longer Term Downside

Long
BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Hi to my followers, please feel free to reach out / comment and brainstorm. Have a safe and cheerful transition into 2019!

Yellow Prediction: Preferred scenario as I definitely see short – medium term bull presence following the uncertainty of macro news and major equity market corrections. BTC sharing the fame with gold as a “safe haven” asset, and as evident with the appreciating gold price in the past 2 weeks, I find BTC may follow.

Teal Prediction: Alternative scenario breaking the 4Hr top hitting the 50 EMA, then falling.

The verdict: I believe this 5 wave WXYXZ pattern will finalise this entire 12-month correction before we see a major move back into 10k+. Why? US financial stability is venerable in 2019 and BTC could be a place to park money due to encrypted security, while others may park money in gold.

The risk: BTC falling from current level to break the low before the move up.

EMA: DAILY 130 EMA Look at the
RSI: DAILY crossing through 50 and breaking a trendline
Stochastic: DAILY Crossing into 50 region also
Wave Count: Looking for a complex X wave in a 3-wave structure. This will be the final X before a Z move down. The Z move is optimistic at $1,200, but $2,000 could also be possible.
Fibonacci Retracement: 4 HOUR correction found support at 61.8%
Fibonacci Extension: 4 HOUR price could extend into the 129 EMA and find resistance at 100% - 123.6%.

$BTC $cryptocurrency $usd $dxy #forex #commodities #trading #predictiontrading


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