Trading-Guru

BTC On Its Way To $42,000 According to Late 2017 FRACTAL

Long
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
In this technical analysis I will explain why $42,000 is a very realistic scenario for the price of bitcoin . According to the fractal from late 2017 we would still be able to have an upside potential of at least 20% before we enter a downtrend again.

From a TA perspective it seems hardly sustainable to see the price of BTC grow as much as it has this recent time period, but planning the trend reversal (besides being potentially very profitable) is going to be extremely hard.

The yellow line is drawn by taking the price data from the late 2017 to early 2018 period. This was the moment the previous bullrun happened and when we printed our previous ATH of slightly below $20,000.

Applying old data onto a current chart is called a 'fractal' and gives you the opportunity to understand what might happen in the future or what empirically could be a realistic scenario.

Using this specific fractal we can get an idea of what a realistic pivot point could be and what a realistic price target could be on a BTC that is still rising every day.

The incredibly sharp drop witnessed after the previous bullrun is what should scare you. The drop can be very very intense after the top has been seen. A chain reaction of panic can cause the price to drop really really quickly.

Just imagine when people start selling, the price will drop and newspapers and newschannels will start reporting on the drop. This will in turn create a very widespread awareness about the fact that the price is dropping and might cause even people who don't look at the chart daily to log in and start taking action.

We have seen a similar concept of course in the rise of the price. As soon as the all time high broke, lots of people would have been notified about bitcoin who previously weren't concerned about it. Simply because the media helped to spread awareness.

This caused the chain reaction that pumped the price to these massive new heights.

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Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only!
Comment: Update, so far it has still followed the fractal. However, if it will still keep following it we should soon see a correction to about $35000. If this is not the case we should probably invalidate the remainder of the fractal.

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Comments

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+9 Reply
bitcoin to 25000 usd is highly realistic within 2022... dips are opportunities...
+3 Reply
bittuminati nethaji7491
@nethaji7491 add 9k too.
+2 Reply
nethaji7491 bittuminati
@bittuminati, not today🚀
Reply
Artificial intelligent forecaster is now 98% sure that it's going down
+3 Reply
GingerWaters Artificialintelligence2020
@Artificialintelligence2020, where have you seen it. what tool do you use?
Reply
Factually speaking, Isn't this bull run a year early?
+3 Reply
@Gambling, What do you mean by that?
+1 Reply
Gambling Trading-Guru
@Trading-Guru, just that it started a lot earlier than all prior, and there is the possibility it will take a lot longer to reach an actual peak; but of course anything is possible, so I spoke out of turn..lol, forgive me.
Your graph comparison is remarkable !
+2 Reply
@Gambling, The measured move from 42k down to 26k would be a ~39% retrace which is common in bull runs, 42k may serve as a short term top before continuing the run.
honestly if it doesnt have a healthy pull back soon ~20k is our only real support moving down and who knows if that will hold if we reach it.
+2 Reply
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