twismo
Education

Turtle Trading Strategy - Educational Overview & Results (v2)

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
I have undertaken backtesting over the past few weeks on a number of Crypto / USD pairs using the famous Turtle Trading strategy. There are a number of good books written on this strategy and you can find the details rules online.
On all of the pairs I tested the Turtle Strategy (version 1) performed best.

The Turtle Trading strategy is a systematic trend-following breakout trading system which works well in trending markets - its designed to catch the big trends! The strategy looses money over time when the market is ranging. Historically crypto markets have primarily been trending which makes the Turtle strategy a good fit over time.

In this trade I will follow these Turtle strategy principles:
(main rules also shown in the chart)
Entry: Long (or Short) is placed when the price breaks above (or below for Shorts) the price for the previous 20 days.
Position Size: 1% of portfolio size adjusted to account for volatility of the market, known as 1N. More volatile markets have a wider Stop Loss (see below) but they also have smaller position size. This equalises risk across all entries and results in better diversification and more robust risk management. As the portfolio size increases or decreases so therefore will the subsequent position sizing.
Additional Positions: Purchased if price moves in the direction of the trade at 1/2N or 1/2% of portfolio size/risk. A maximum of 3 additional units, making for a total of 4 units will be purchased.
Stop Loss: Placed based on a calculation involving the Average True Range (ATR) for the previous 20 days where the Risk amounts to no more than 2% Portfolio size. i.e. Stop is placed at 2N. If additional units are purchased then each one has its own Stop Loss and each will be executed individually if and when they are reached.
Target/Exit: No fixed target is set. Turtles do not agree with the old saying "You can never go broke taking a profit", instead they believe that taking a profit too early is one of the most common and damaging mistakes in trading trend-following systems. Instead an exit will be triggered when the trend has a 10-day low (or 10-day high for Shorts). Thus the Exit is not shown on this trade set-up. If additional positions have been purchased then ALL will be exited when the exit target is hit for the original position.
Maximum Positions: The Turtle strategy advocates a limit on the number of positions held across all traded pairs for uncorrelated and correlated markets. Since all crypto pairs are closely correlated (see: https://cointrading.ninja/correlation) I will be ignoring this rule and instead following the rule which states that a maximum of 12 long positions and 12 short positions can be held at the same time. It is noted that it is unlikely that 24 positions will be opened as the close correlation of crypto markets means that positions will either be long or short but not both at the same time.

History of trades for this Turtle S1 strategy (each trade is posted separately):
1) IOT/USD Long (11-Jun-18), 2% Loss
2) XRP/USD Short (03-July-18), 0.45% Loss
3) ETH/USD Short (03-July-18) 1.15% Loss
4) IOT/USD Short (11-Jun-18) 1.38% Gain
5) BTC/USD Short (03-Jul-18) 0.65% Gain
6) BTC/USD Long (03-Aug-18) 0.61% Loss
7) ETH/USD Long (31-July-18) 2% Loss
8) XRP/USD Long (17-July-18) 2.11% Loss
9) ETH/USD Short (01-Aug-18) 10.36% Gain
10) IOT/USD Short (03-Aug-18) 9.28% Gain
11) XRP/USD Short (06-Aug-18) 12.45%
12) BTC/USD Short (08-Aug-18) 0.36% Gain
13) EURUSD Short (10-Aug-18) 4.55% Loss
14) IOT/USD Long (28-Aug-18) 3.27% Loss
15) BTC/USD Long (28-Aug-18) -2.58 Loss
16) ETH/USD Short (05-Sep-18) ACTIVE
17) BTC/USD Short (09-Sep-18) ACTIVE
18) IOT/USD Short (18-Sep-18) ACTIVE
Overall 16.05% Gain of closed trades

I publish each individual trade I execute on TradingView - search for my trades using "turtle" tag. I will be keeping a log of trading results in this idea for full transparency.

This is not investment advice. Please always do your own research. If you are interested in this trade or the Turtle strategy in general then please follow me and my turtle trades.
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity"


If you want to know more about Turtle trading then follow me and my trades. If I get enough people interested I can update TradingView more frequently with my levels so people can copy trade. Peace.
Sep 21
Comment: History of trades for this Turtle S1 strategy (each trade is posted separately):
1) IOT/USD Long (11-Jun-18), 2% Loss
2) XRP/USD Short (03-July-18), 0.45% Loss
3) ETH/USD Short (03-July-18) 1.15% Loss
4) IOT/USD Short (11-Jun-18) 1.38% Gain
5) BTC/USD Short (03-Jul-18) 0.65% Gain
6) BTC/USD Long (03-Aug-18) 0.61% Loss
7) ETH/USD Long (31-July-18) 2% Loss
8) XRP/USD Long (17-July-18) 2.11% Loss
9) ETH/USD Short (01-Aug-18) 10.36% Gain
10) IOT/USD Short (03-Aug-18) 9.28% Gain
11) XRP/USD Short (06-Aug-18) 12.45%
12) BTC/USD Short (08-Aug-18) 0.36% Gain
13) EURUSD 0.09% Short (10-Aug-18) 4.55% Loss
14) IOT/USD Long (28-Aug-18) 3.27% Loss
15) BTC/USD Long (28-Aug-18) -2.58 Loss
16) ETH/USD Short (05-Sep-18) 3.54% Gain <--- Latest closed
17) BTC/USD Short (09-Sep-18) ACTIVE
18) IOT/USD Short (18-Sep-18) ACTIVE
Overall 19.63% Gain of closed trades

Trade closed:
Sep 21
Comment: History of trades for this Turtle S1 strategy (each trade is posted separately):
1) IOT/USD Long (11-Jun-18), 2% Loss
2) XRP/USD Short (03-July-18), 0.45% Loss
3) ETH/USD Short (03-July-18) 1.15% Loss
4) IOT/USD Short (11-Jun-18) 1.38% Gain
5) BTC/USD Short (03-Jul-18) 0.65% Gain
6) BTC/USD Long (03-Aug-18) 0.61% Loss
7) ETH/USD Long (31-July-18) 2% Loss
8) XRP/USD Long (17-July-18) 2.11% Loss
9) ETH/USD Short (01-Aug-18) 10.36% Gain
10) IOT/USD Short (03-Aug-18) 9.28% Gain
11) XRP/USD Short (06-Aug-18) 12.45%
12) BTC/USD Short (08-Aug-18) 0.36% Gain
13) EURUSD 0.09% Short (10-Aug-18) 4.55% Loss
14) IOT/USD Long (28-Aug-18) 3.27% Loss
15) BTC/USD Long (28-Aug-18) -2.58 Loss
16) ETH/USD Short (05-Sep-18) 3.54% Gain
17) BTC/USD Short (09-Sep-18) 1.29% Loss <--- Latest closed
18) IOT/USD Short (18-Sep-18) ACTIVE
Overall 18.34% Gain of closed trades

Trade closed:
Sep 22
Comment: History of trades for this Turtle S1 strategy (each trade is posted separately):
1) IOT/USD Long (11-Jun-18), 2% Loss
2) XRP/USD Short (03-July-18), 0.45% Loss
3) ETH/USD Short (03-July-18) 1.15% Loss
4) IOT/USD Short (11-Jun-18) 1.38% Gain
5) BTC/USD Short (03-Jul-18) 0.65% Gain
6) BTC/USD Long (03-Aug-18) 0.61% Loss
7) ETH/USD Long (31-July-18) 2% Loss
8) XRP/USD Long (17-July-18) 2.11% Loss
9) ETH/USD Short (01-Aug-18) 10.36% Gain
10) IOT/USD Short (03-Aug-18) 9.28% Gain
11) XRP/USD Short (06-Aug-18) 12.45%
12) BTC/USD Short (08-Aug-18) 0.36% Gain
13) EURUSD 0.09% Short (10-Aug-18) 4.55% Loss
14) IOT/USD Long (28-Aug-18) 3.27% Loss
15) BTC/USD Long (28-Aug-18) -2.58 Loss
16) ETH/USD Short (05-Sep-18) 3.54% Gain
17) BTC/USD Short (09-Sep-18) 1.29% Loss
18) IOT/USD Short (18-Sep-18) 1.78% Loss <--- Latest closed
19) XRP/USD Long (20-Sep-18) ACTIVE <-- New Trade
20) BTC/USD Long (20-Sep-18) ACTIVE <-- New Trade
21) ETH/USD Long (21-Sep-18) ACTIVE <-- New Trade
Overall 16.56% Gain of closed trades
Sep 30
Comment: History of trades for this Turtle S1 strategy (each trade is posted separately):
1) IOT/USD Long (11-Jun-18), 2% Loss
2) XRP/USD Short (03-July-18), 0.45% Loss
3) ETH/USD Short (03-July-18) 1.15% Loss
4) IOT/USD Short (11-Jun-18) 1.38% Gain
5) BTC/USD Short (03-Jul-18) 0.65% Gain
6) BTC/USD Long (03-Aug-18) 0.61% Loss
7) ETH/USD Long (31-July-18) 2% Loss
8) XRP/USD Long (17-July-18) 2.11% Loss
9) ETH/USD Short (01-Aug-18) 10.36% Gain
10) IOT/USD Short (03-Aug-18) 9.28% Gain
11) XRP/USD Short (06-Aug-18) 12.45%
12) BTC/USD Short (08-Aug-18) 0.36% Gain
13) EURUSD 0.09% Short (10-Aug-18) 4.55% Loss
14) IOT/USD Long (28-Aug-18) 3.27% Loss
15) BTC/USD Long (28-Aug-18) -2.58 Loss
16) ETH/USD Short (05-Sep-18) 3.54% Gain
17) BTC/USD Short (09-Sep-18) 1.29% Loss
18) IOT/USD Short (18-Sep-18) 1.78% Loss
19) XRP/USD Long (20-Sep-18) ACTIVE
20) BTC/USD Long (20-Sep-18) ACTIVE
21) ETH/USD Long (21-Sep-18) 3.57% Loss <--- Latest closed
Overall 16.56% Gain on closed trades

Trade Closed:
Oct 01
Comment: History of trades for this Turtle S1 strategy (each trade is posted separately):
1) IOT/USD Long (11-Jun-18), 2% Loss
2) XRP/USD Short (03-July-18), 0.45% Loss
3) ETH/USD Short (03-July-18) 1.15% Loss
4) IOT/USD Short (11-Jun-18) 1.38% Gain
5) BTC/USD Short (03-Jul-18) 0.65% Gain
6) BTC/USD Long (03-Aug-18) 0.61% Loss
7) ETH/USD Long (31-July-18) 2% Loss
8) XRP/USD Long (17-July-18) 2.11% Loss
9) ETH/USD Short (01-Aug-18) 10.36% Gain
10) IOT/USD Short (03-Aug-18) 9.28% Gain
11) XRP/USD Short (06-Aug-18) 12.45%
12) BTC/USD Short (08-Aug-18) 0.36% Gain
13) EURUSD 0.09% Short (10-Aug-18) 4.55% Loss
14) IOT/USD Long (28-Aug-18) 3.27% Loss
15) BTC/USD Long (28-Aug-18) -2.58 Loss
16) ETH/USD Short (05-Sep-18) 3.54% Gain
17) BTC/USD Short (09-Sep-18) 1.29% Loss
18) IOT/USD Short (18-Sep-18) 1.78% Loss
19) XRP/USD Long (20-Sep-18) ACTIVE
20) BTC/USD Long (20-Sep-18) ACTIVE
21) ETH/USD Long (21-Sep-18) 3.57% Loss
22) EURUSD Long (21-Sep-18) 2.00% Loss <--- Latest closed
Overall 9.62% Gain on closed trades

Note: Trade 22 not charted separately.
Oct 10
Comment: Comment: History of trades for this Turtle S1 strategy (each trade is posted separately):
1) IOT/USD Long (11-Jun-18), 2% Loss
2) XRP/USD Short (03-July-18), 0.45% Loss
3) ETH/USD Short (03-July-18) 1.15% Loss
4) IOT/USD Short (11-Jun-18) 1.38% Gain
5) BTC/USD Short (03-Jul-18) 0.65% Gain
6) BTC/USD Long (03-Aug-18) 0.61% Loss
7) ETH/USD Long (31-July-18) 2% Loss
8) XRP/USD Long (17-July-18) 2.11% Loss
9) ETH/USD Short (01-Aug-18) 10.36% Gain
10) IOT/USD Short (03-Aug-18) 9.28% Gain
11) XRP/USD Short (06-Aug-18) 12.45%
12) BTC/USD Short (08-Aug-18) 0.36% Gain
13) EURUSD 0.09% Short (10-Aug-18) 4.55% Loss
14) IOT/USD Long (28-Aug-18) 3.27% Loss
15) BTC/USD Long (28-Aug-18) -2.58 Loss
16) ETH/USD Short (05-Sep-18) 3.54% Gain
17) BTC/USD Short (09-Sep-18) 1.29% Loss
18) IOT/USD Short (18-Sep-18) 1.78% Loss
19) XRP/USD Long (20-Sep-18) 12.47% Gain <--- Latest closed
20) BTC/USD Long (20-Sep-18) ACTIVE
21) ETH/USD Long (21-Sep-18) 3.57% Loss
22) EURUSD Long (21-Sep-18) 2.00% Loss
Overall 24.33% Gain on closed trades

Latest closed trade final position:
Oct 14
Comment: 1) IOT/USD Long (11-Jun-18), 2% Loss
2) XRP/USD Short (03-July-18), 0.45% Loss
3) ETH/USD Short (03-July-18) 1.15% Loss
4) IOT/USD Short (11-Jun-18) 1.38% Gain
5) BTC/USD Short (03-Jul-18) 0.65% Gain
6) BTC/USD Long (03-Aug-18) 0.61% Loss
7) ETH/USD Long (31-July-18) 2% Loss
8) XRP/USD Long (17-July-18) 2.11% Loss
9) ETH/USD Short (01-Aug-18) 10.36% Gain
10) IOT/USD Short (03-Aug-18) 9.28% Gain
11) XRP/USD Short (06-Aug-18) 12.45%
12) BTC/USD Short (08-Aug-18) 0.36% Gain
13) EURUSD 0.09% Short (10-Aug-18) 4.55% Loss
14) IOT/USD Long (28-Aug-18) 3.27% Loss
15) BTC/USD Long (28-Aug-18) -2.58 Loss
16) ETH/USD Short (05-Sep-18) 3.54% Gain
17) BTC/USD Short (09-Sep-18) 1.29% Loss
18) IOT/USD Short (18-Sep-18) 1.78% Loss
19) XRP/USD Long (20-Sep-18) 12.47% Gain
20) BTC/USD Long (20-Sep-18) 1.25% Loss <--- Latest closed
21) ETH/USD Long (21-Sep-18) 3.57% Loss
22) EURUSD Long (21-Sep-18) 2.00% Loss
23) BTC/USD Short (11-Oct-18) ACTIVE
24) ETH/USD Short (11-Oct-18) ACTIVE
25) IOT/USD Short (11-Oct-18) ACTIVE
Overall 23.38% Gain on closed trades.

Latest 3 trades:
23) 24) 25)
Oct 15
Comment: 1) IOT/USD Long (11-Jun-18), 2% Loss
2) XRP/USD Short (03-July-18), 0.45% Loss
3) ETH/USD Short (03-July-18) 1.15% Loss
4) IOT/USD Short (11-Jun-18) 1.38% Gain
5) BTC/USD Short (03-Jul-18) 0.65% Gain
6) BTC/USD Long (03-Aug-18) 0.61% Loss
7) ETH/USD Long (31-July-18) 2% Loss
8) XRP/USD Long (17-July-18) 2.11% Loss
9) ETH/USD Short (01-Aug-18) 10.36% Gain
10) IOT/USD Short (03-Aug-18) 9.28% Gain
11) XRP/USD Short (06-Aug-18) 12.45%
12) BTC/USD Short (08-Aug-18) 0.36% Gain
13) EURUSD 0.09% Short (10-Aug-18) 4.55% Loss
14) IOT/USD Long (28-Aug-18) 3.27% Loss
15) BTC/USD Long (28-Aug-18) -2.58 Loss
16) ETH/USD Short (05-Sep-18) 3.54% Gain
17) BTC/USD Short (09-Sep-18) 1.29% Loss
18) IOT/USD Short (18-Sep-18) 1.78% Loss
19) XRP/USD Long (20-Sep-18) 12.47% Gain
20) BTC/USD Long (20-Sep-18) 1.25% Loss
21) ETH/USD Long (21-Sep-18) 3.57% Loss
22) EURUSD Long (21-Sep-18) 2.00% Loss
23) BTC/USD Short (11-Oct-18) 4.94% Loss <--- Latest closed
24) ETH/USD Short (11-Oct-18) ACTIVE
25) IOT/USD Short (11-Oct-18) ACTIVE
Overall 18.44% Gain on closed trades.
Nov 06
Comment: 1) IOT/USD Long (11-Jun-18), 2% Loss
2) XRP/USD Short (03-July-18), 0.45% Loss
3) ETH/USD Short (03-July-18) 1.15% Loss
4) IOT/USD Short (11-Jun-18) 1.38% Gain
5) BTC/USD Short (03-Jul-18) 0.65% Gain
6) BTC/USD Long (03-Aug-18) 0.61% Loss
7) ETH/USD Long (31-July-18) 2% Loss
8) XRP/USD Long (17-July-18) 2.11% Loss
9) ETH/USD Short (01-Aug-18) 10.36% Gain
10) IOT/USD Short (03-Aug-18) 9.28% Gain
11) XRP/USD Short (06-Aug-18) 12.45%
12) BTC/USD Short (08-Aug-18) 0.36% Gain
13) EURUSD 0.09% Short (10-Aug-18) 4.55% Loss
14) IOT/USD Long (28-Aug-18) 3.27% Loss
15) BTC/USD Long (28-Aug-18) -2.58 Loss
16) ETH/USD Short (05-Sep-18) 3.54% Gain
17) BTC/USD Short (09-Sep-18) 1.29% Loss
18) IOT/USD Short (18-Sep-18) 1.78% Loss
19) XRP/USD Long (20-Sep-18) 12.47% Gain
20) BTC/USD Long (20-Sep-18) 1.25% Loss
21) ETH/USD Long (21-Sep-18) 3.57% Loss
22) EURUSD Long (21-Sep-18) 2.00% Loss
23) BTC/USD Short (11-Oct-18) 4.94% Loss
24) ETH/USD Short (11-Oct-18) 1.23% Loss <--- Latest closed
25) IOT/USD Short (11-Oct-18) ACTIVE
Overall 18.49% Gain on closed trades.
Nov 06
Comment: 1) IOT/USD Long (11-Jun-18), 2% Loss
2) XRP/USD Short (03-July-18), 0.45% Loss
3) ETH/USD Short (03-July-18) 1.15% Loss
4) IOT/USD Short (11-Jun-18) 1.38% Gain
5) BTC/USD Short (03-Jul-18) 0.65% Gain
6) BTC/USD Long (03-Aug-18) 0.61% Loss
7) ETH/USD Long (31-July-18) 2% Loss
8) XRP/USD Long (17-July-18) 2.11% Loss
9) ETH/USD Short (01-Aug-18) 10.36% Gain
10) IOT/USD Short (03-Aug-18) 9.28% Gain
11) XRP/USD Short (06-Aug-18) 12.45%
12) BTC/USD Short (08-Aug-18) 0.36% Gain
13) EURUSD 0.09% Short (10-Aug-18) 4.55% Loss
14) IOT/USD Long (28-Aug-18) 3.27% Loss
15) BTC/USD Long (28-Aug-18) -2.58 Loss
16) ETH/USD Short (05-Sep-18) 3.54% Gain
17) BTC/USD Short (09-Sep-18) 1.29% Loss
18) IOT/USD Short (18-Sep-18) 1.78% Loss
19) XRP/USD Long (20-Sep-18) 12.47% Gain
20) BTC/USD Long (20-Sep-18) 1.25% Loss
21) ETH/USD Long (21-Sep-18) 3.57% Loss
22) EURUSD Long (21-Sep-18) 2.00% Loss
23) BTC/USD Short (11-Oct-18) 4.94% Loss
24) ETH/USD Short (11-Oct-18) 1.23% Loss
25) IOT/USD Short (11-Oct-18) 2.17% Loss <--- Latest closed
Overall 16.32% Gain on closed trades.
Nov 08
Comment: Two new trades added:
26) XRP/USD Long Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (05-Nov-18)


27) ETH/USD Long Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (07-Nov-18)

Nov 12
Comment: Currently active trades:
26) XRP/USD Long Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (05-Nov-18)
27) ETH/USD Long Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (07-Nov-18)
28) BTC/USD Long Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (07-Nov-18) <-- New Trade below

Nov 12
Comment: Currently active trades:
26) XRP/USD Long Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (05-Nov-18)
27) ETH/USD Long Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (07-Nov-18)
28) BTC/USD Long Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (07-Nov-18)
29) EUR.USD Short Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (12-Nov-18) <-- New Trade below

Nov 13
Comment: Closed Trades:
28) BTC/USD Long Turtle (07-Nov-18) 0.65% Loss

Still active trades:
26) XRP/USD Long Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (05-Nov-18)
27) ETH/USD Long Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (07-Nov-18)
29) EUR.USD Short Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (12-Nov-18)

Overall 21.65% Gain on closed trades.
Nov 14
Comment: Closed Trade:
27) ETH/USD Long Turtle S1 Breakout trigger 2% Loss


Still active trades:
26) XRP/USD Long Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (05-Nov-18)
29) EUR/USD Short Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (12-Nov-18)

Overall 19.95% Gain on closed trades.
Nov 14
Comment: Close trades:
26) XRP/USD Long Turtle S1 (05-Nov-18) - 4.46% Loss


Still active trades:
29) EUR/USD Short Turtle S1 (12-Nov-18)

Overall 14.77% Gain on closed trades.
Nov 14
Comment: One New Trade Added:
30) IOT/BTC Short Turtle S1 (14-Nov-18)


Two trades sill active:
29) EUR/USD Short Turtle S1 (12-Nov-18)
30) IOT/BTC Short Turtle S1 (14-Nov-18)
Nov 14
Comment: A further trade triggered today:
31) BTC/USD Short Turtle S1 (14-Nov-18)


Three trades still active:
29) EUR/USD Short Turtle S1 (12-Nov-18)
30) IOT/BTC Short Turtle S1 (14-Nov-18)
31) BTC/USD Short Turtle S1 (14-Nov-18)
Nov 20
Comment: Closed Trade:
9) EUR/USD Short Turtle S1 (12-Nov-18) - 4.03% Loss

Two trades still active:
30) IOT/BTC Short Turtle S1 (14-Nov-18)
31) BTC/USD Short Turtle S1 (14-Nov-18)

Overall 9.34% Gain on closed trades.
Nov 23
Comment: New Trade:
32) XRP/USD Short Turtle S1 (23-Nov-18)

Dec 14
Comment: Closed trades:
30) IOT/BTC Short Turtle S1 (14-Nov-18) - 18.08% Gain
31) BTC/USD Short Turtle S1 (14-Nov-18) - 49.36% Gain
32) XRP/USD Short Turtle S1 (23-Nov-18) - 4.79% Gain

Overall 83.85% Gain on closed trades.

All trades are now currently closed.
Dec 15
Trade active: New Trade active:
33) XRP/USD Short Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (15-Dec-18)

Dec 18
Comment: Closed trade:
33) XRP/USD Short Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (15-Dec-18) - 1.92% Loss.

Overall 95.82% Gain on closed trades. (note I made a mistake in the previous overall gain figure in previous comment)

All trades are now currently closed.
Dec 23
Comment: Two new trades opened in past few days:

34) IOT/USD LONG Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (20-Dec-18)


All other trades are closed.
Jan 10
Comment: Trades 35 & 36 closed manually. See those trades for details.

New Trades:
36) IOT/USD SHORT Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (10-Jan-18)


37) XRP/USD SHORT Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (10-Jan-18)

Jan 10
Comment: New trade:
38) BTC/USD SHORT Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (10-Jan-18)

Jan 22
Comment: Place additional trade:
39) ETH/USD SHORT Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (22-Jan-18)
Note: I have not invested in this trade. I will publish loss/gain % but not add it to my actual total.

Jan 31
Comment: Trade 37 closed at loss of 1.09%.

Overall Gains now at 81.55%


Open Trades are 38 & 39 (links below)
Feb 08
Comment: Closed Trades:

36) IOT/USD SHORT Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (10-Jan-18) - 0.84% Gain.
38) BTC/USD SHORT Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (10-Jan-18) - 0.49% Loss.
39) ETH/USD SHORT Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (22-Jan-18) - 1% Loss (no positions placed so not reflected in overall Gain/Loss)

Overall Gain 80.05%

Note - All trades now closed.
Feb 28
Comment: 40) ETH/USD SHORT Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (17-Feb-18) which was actually a LONG trade (incorrect title) has been stopped out. See link below.

Overall Gain dropped slightly to 79.02%

ALL TRADES NOW CLOSED. FYI I am now starting to also track EOS/USD (Bitfinex) and XLM/USD (Kraken) so look out for those in the future.
Mar 15
Trade active: I have decided not to do a separate post for each trade from now on as it takes up too much time. The rules that govern when I enter trades are shown in this post at top. I will continue to post each trade here in this summary when I open and close it to be transparent about my gain/losses.

So....new trade:
41) XRP/USD SHORT Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (14-Mar-18). Note that the price spiked down to meet my buy level but market reacted with strong buy orders so it looks like this trade will stop out.
Mar 16
Comment: Trade closed:
41) XRP/USD SHORT Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (14-Mar-18) with loss of 1.44%

Overal Gain dropped to 77.58%.
Mar 23
Trade active: 42) IOT/USD LONG Turtle S1 Breakout trigger (22-Mar-18). Medium confidence level. Price needs to break through 100 EMA and previous resistance on 24th Feb.

Related Ideas

What came of this?
Reply
twismo Bluetooth
@Bluetooth, I'm still running with the strategy. I just stoped publishing each trade result. My performance is currently running at 57.8% per year. The strategy has been running for 17 months.
Reply
@twismo, are you running with real money, whats the drawdown? lots of questions i have, I keep going back to this trading plan, I ran a simualtion then real life, I was not prepared for the draw-down mentally,
Reply
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