Important Swings to watch

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / Dollar
6507 38 36
After a decent period of time, decided to share next possible targets and scenarios on long term on trading swings. I have renewed the prior longterm channel,which I posted half a year ago, with the next levels for Fib Channel, as they have given some great entry opportunites ever since, shorting all this on the trend at these level has been very porfitable. We are now sitting on a new level. Breaking the 220$ will be bullish for a new bullrun which could have a target of almost 250$, or after some retrace even to 320', which is a major resistance, and would be too risky for profits to wait to break it either, better close longs if getting there, in both cases, after some bearish signals or breaking levels back would be a good moment to find good shorting entries and tracking them back to the downtrend to even new lows. Next, should it fail now to break 220, going under 200 would mean to find a good entry if the price retraces slowly, almost on sideway, or even better, when breaking the violet line level, and retracing under it, would be a good short entry for getting to new lows. In all cases, new lows create panic, best is to close shorts during panic, and buying little by little when panic selling is starting to lose velocity.

I have posted this chart, as it gave me during last months some great shorting opportunities and wanted to make an update of next to come, especially for swing trading entries. All in all, the downtrend will still continue and without any doubt this does not look as a reversal, you will have good chances to buy it even cheaper in the next period to come, so it is strongly adivisable to avoid panic buying if it spikes instantly.

Best regards and good luck in trading!
BTC_Daily.Pips jangseohee
Sorry, just noticed your comment. Yes, still on schedule, breaking new level in 300s would bring a lot a volatility and create a wick even above, but definitely your targets are a good place to close longs, like under 340. Cheers!
+1 Reply
So, we broke the resistance to confirm the last swing to be bullish, consolidation above just above it is beneficial for a perspectice solid surge. So testing the downtrend line is still in process. A zoomed in view, with the 30EMA, which I like to use when watching the trend on 4h timeframes and some price levels to watch :

On daily, we are chopping at a fib level:

All in all, the swing up to around 350 to test the downtrend looks still solid. Cheers!
We are now in a neutral zone, if you want to short, wait for the price to break down this channel line we are at and short the slow retrace touching it from the downside. If you are are bullish, long on it with stop loss under the line for another bull run that may still happen, whether testing the resistance again or break it even further. Either way, you get a great Risk-Reward Ratio. Cheers!
+1 Reply
ProwdClown PRO BTC_Daily.Pips
Good morning SergiuFala,

Hope all is well with you today, Sir. I'm doing fine here. I've been up all night. Other than that, I'm still kicking. I'm used to staying up all night from playing Texas No Limit Hold'em.

I'm curious... When you say, "down this channel," could you clarify? Maybe with a 6 hour or even a 12 hour chart? Or you choose which chart you think is best to clarify the channel you are referring to?
+1 Reply
BTC_Daily.Pips ProwdClown
Hello, David! Glad to hear that ;) I am now in watching zone, my longs have sl almost at break even, waiting for the market to pick direction to configure my strategy for next move. To answer your question, I have decided I will publish the channel, so you can always watch it it entirely, with the entry points and an explanation and approach to how to trade it, how I have used for the past half a year and still using it (has been giving excellent entries on the downtrend ever since), together with the strategy of the next scenarios. I am a bit busy now, about midnight CET I am sure it will be ready. Hope you will like it :D Best regards!
+1 Reply
ProwdClown PRO BTC_Daily.Pips
Hi SergiuFala,

I took a nap for 1.5 hours. I will be taking another nap shortly for about 3 hours. I have my alarms set and volume up as loud as it will go... lol.

Thanks again for the reply, Sir. I understand what you mean by "watching zone." Hence, the alarms set. Thanks for publishing the channel soon. You have me interested about what you have going on. I really look forward to watching it.

I understand about being busy. I have lots going on myself. Busy doing corporate taxes right now. I'll probably have them finished by the end of February to give to my accountant. They aren't due until March 15th. Personal taxes due on April 15th.

Well, I'm going to try to get a bit more shut eye before continuing on taxes.

Best regards, sir!

Jameve ProwdClown
I think you need another nap.
BTC_Daily.Pips ProwdClown
Published it , hope it helps ;)
great stuff!
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