TopgOptions

BTC Bitcoin Price ahead of the FOMC decision next week

Short
BINANCE:BTCUSDT   Bitcoin / TetherUS
While Bitcoin has experienced a recent surge in price, there are notable indicators suggesting caution. Investors have begun to take profits, signifying a potential shift in sentiment. This could be indicative of a more cautious market stance, especially considering the prevailing uncertainties.

A critical concern arises from Bitcoin's current position below its 200-week moving average. Historical data shows that this zone has often acted as a formidable barrier for Bitcoin's price movement. This pattern suggests that a sustained breakout above this level might prove challenging in the near term.

The recent inflation figures from the Consumer Price Index (CPI) have sent shockwaves through financial markets, with a year-over-year increase of 3.7%, surpassing earlier estimates. This level of inflation, combined with the Federal Reserve's current interest rate range of 5.25% to 5.5%, is a cause for concern. The surprising stability of Bitcoin amidst such economic turbulence may not be sustainable in the long run.

Adding to the apprehension is the concept of 'sticky' inflation, where prices continue to rise even in the face of elevated interest rates. The core CPI data, excluding energy price fluctuations, still reported a yearly increase of 4.3%, albeit lower than the previous month. This persistent upward trend in core CPI since September 2022 raises valid questions about the Federal Reserve's strategies moving forward.

In light of these factors, it would be prudent to approach the current Bitcoin market with a degree of caution. While the cryptocurrency has shown resilience in the face of economic headwinds, the potential for increased volatility and the presence of significant barriers in its price movement could pose challenges for sustained bullish momentum.

My Price Target for BTC Bitcoin is $23700.

Looking forward to read your opinion about it!

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.