easyMarkets

US Dollar Update - US CPI Key this week

Short
TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index
USD is knocking on the dollar of a breakout extension of it record breaking run, we up against 104 on Dollar index which is the 2017 high and we have so far rejected a few attempts since last week.

Market could be caught a little long here if US CPI falls for the first time this year when its released Wednesday US morning. A fall should help sentiment and perhaps prompt a short covering rally on US stocks and help most FX pairs rebound against the Dollar.

How long the market pulls back on the USD will rely on how long the US interest rates pull back. After the FED meeting we only got a 24 hour stock rally before new lows.

The market is lower and more oversold now so the chance of a 2-3 day relief rally on lower inflation is higher here.

If US inflation doesn't fall or god forbid continue to creep higher, the pain will continue and its likely we get a deeper stock correction and higher USD.

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