4xForecaster

Is $DXY Rising From A New Cyclical Base | $USD $EUR $Gold #forex

INDEX:DXY   US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX
Friends,

Looking at the low-high structures of DXY             overtime, one has to wander whether the recent higher-low carved out on 04 APR             2011 represents a base for another cyclical impulsive leg to a new high.

As you may recall, last month, I offered a case in favor of a rally in the greenback (see DXY             and technical commentaries here: https://www.tradingview.com/v/ynt7DJzk/). With the benefit of time, one can see that using TradingView replay feature, price has moved in the direction of the forecast, making the target incrementally more probable, albeit still far off.

Note that the predictive/forecasting model defined the following nearer targets on the original DXY             chart linked above:

1 - TG-1 = 83.02

and

2 - TG-2 = 84.56

Although this cyclical chart lacks the statistical n-number to define a relevance, it does point to an acceptable cycle of bases-highs-lows-bases worth keeping an eye on.

Cheers,

David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
TradingView.com Moderator

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Twitter: @4xForecaster
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Factored into
Comment: 26 FEB 2016 - Chart Update / tech-Note:

This Geo heralds a "Worse Case Scenario":


Best,

David Alcindor
Comment: 22 AUG 2016 - Chart Update:

In the LT, USDollar remains bullish. But in the most immediate timetable, 88.93 remains a probable risk:


Best,

David Alcindor
CMT Affiliate #227974
David Alcindor
Alias: 4xForecaster

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I must admit the timing was so good. Did you take advantage of that at that time?
+1 Reply
Hello @2use - I used it as a guidance relative to its correlated $USD Forex pairs.

David
Reply
Hi David, any update on this time frame?
+1 Reply
4xForecaster HamedAghajani
Hello @HamedAghajani - What timeframe are you referring to?

David
Reply
HamedAghajani 4xForecaster
Monthly as the original analysis
+1 Reply
4xForecaster HamedAghajani
@HamedAghajani - 101.32 appears to be a resistance, whereas 89.62 may offer support. A temporary decline within this range is possible.

David
+2 Reply
26 MAR 2015 - Update:

From Twitter/LinkedIn:
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$DXY: High-probability decline to complete background geometry; Eyes 95.48 support:



@tradingview $EUR $USD #forex






David Alcindor
+1 Reply
15 JAN 2015 - Update:

From Twitter:
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$DXY still eyeing 78.59 floor from current 91.37/90.74 forecast reversal range:



@tradingview #USDollar $USD #forex
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David Alcindor
Reply
Sokun 4xForecaster
Maximum Entropy ? Periphery economies collapsing to the core. Have you considered this in your analysis ?
+1 Reply
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