ETHUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 25% ETH, 75% Cash.
*After a successful Merge, Ethereum is now a Proof of Stake network... and in classic Crypto fashion, it appears to be going through a "Buy the Rumor, Sell the News" cycle. Cryptos, Equities, Futures, Commodities and the VIX are down while the Euro, US Treasuries and DXY are up on the day. US August Retail Sales were up 0.3% compared to consensus estimates of 0.1% and July's -0.4% reading. This higher than expected reading on US Retail Sales paired with a higher CPI will likely influence the Fed to stick to their 'beyond-neutral' commitment to getting inflation down by raising FFR by 75bps or even 100bps on 09/21. The 12th GDPNow US Q3 GDP estimate is now 0.5% compared to 1.3% on 09/09/22. Key Upcoming Dates: UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 09/16; US August Building Permits and Housing Starts at 830am EST 09/20; FOMC meeting 09/20-09/21 (Statement Released at 2pm EST on 09/21); S&P US September Manufacturing PMI at 945am EST 09/23.*
Price is currently trending down at ~$1500 as it breaks below the uptrend line from 06/18/22 at ~$1640, the next support is at $1427. Volume is currently High (low) and is on track to favor sellers in today's session, if it does it would make four of the past five session dominated by sellers. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $1785, this margin is neutral at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 42 after being rejected by the upper trendline of the Symmetrical Triangle from February 2020 at 55 resistance, the next support is the lower trendline of the Symmetrical Triangle at 37 support. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending down at 10 but is still technically testing 18 support. MACD is currently crossing over bearish at 3.5 after being rejected by 28 resistance, the next support is at -46. ADX is currently trending up slightly at 16 as Price falls, this is mildly bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely retest the uptrend line from 06/18/22 as resistance between ~$1600 and $1711 minor resistance. However, if Price continues to fall, it will likely formally retest $1427 support. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $1600.
*After a successful Merge, Ethereum is now a Proof of Stake network... and in classic Crypto fashion, it appears to be going through a "Buy the Rumor, Sell the News" cycle. Cryptos, Equities, Futures, Commodities and the VIX are down while the Euro, US Treasuries and DXY are up on the day. US August Retail Sales were up 0.3% compared to consensus estimates of 0.1% and July's -0.4% reading. This higher than expected reading on US Retail Sales paired with a higher CPI will likely influence the Fed to stick to their 'beyond-neutral' commitment to getting inflation down by raising FFR by 75bps or even 100bps on 09/21. The 12th GDPNow US Q3 GDP estimate is now 0.5% compared to 1.3% on 09/09/22. Key Upcoming Dates: UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 09/16; US August Building Permits and Housing Starts at 830am EST 09/20; FOMC meeting 09/20-09/21 (Statement Released at 2pm EST on 09/21); S&P US September Manufacturing PMI at 945am EST 09/23.*
Price is currently trending down at ~$1500 as it breaks below the uptrend line from 06/18/22 at ~$1640, the next support is at $1427. Volume is currently High (low) and is on track to favor sellers in today's session, if it does it would make four of the past five session dominated by sellers. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $1785, this margin is neutral at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 42 after being rejected by the upper trendline of the Symmetrical Triangle from February 2020 at 55 resistance, the next support is the lower trendline of the Symmetrical Triangle at 37 support. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending down at 10 but is still technically testing 18 support. MACD is currently crossing over bearish at 3.5 after being rejected by 28 resistance, the next support is at -46. ADX is currently trending up slightly at 16 as Price falls, this is mildly bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely retest the uptrend line from 06/18/22 as resistance between ~$1600 and $1711 minor resistance. However, if Price continues to fall, it will likely formally retest $1427 support. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $1600.