Ethereum being the second biggest coin in market cap has a very important role to play in the crypto ecosystem, however, we haven't heard to much talk or news about the coin as other L1's have stolen the spotlight. SOLANA, INJECTIVE, SUI etc have all grown in popularity and have taken a lot of the focus away from the biggest altcoin by market cap.
In the chart there are clear ranges for which I believe are worth trading. Range 1 & Range 2 are the HTF key levels, bouncing between the High, low and the midpoint of the range. Currently we have seen price be rejected from the Range 2 Midpoint the support comes from the $2130 level in the HTF but the red supporting trendline on the lower timeframes. For now the chop has kept ETH within those areas and until proven otherwise should be traded as such.
A case for the bulls on Ethereum :
- ETF narrative can be a powerful mover as has already been demonstrated with the BTC move all of last year. Now that the Ethereum ETF awaits approval we could see a similar rally towards the decision date at the end of May this year. It's important to note that this date is post BTC Halving event and historically a rally follows this event throughout the market.
- Deflationary tokenomics lend themselves to a bullish asset for investors because of simple supply and demand dynamics. With the inevitable increase in retail exposure that comes with a Bullrun in addition to BlackRock and other ETF providers buying large sums of the crypto to offer to customers. Naturally this increases price as demand is up, now couple that with a deflationary circulating supply and you have a very bullish scenario where a very sought after asset is becoming increasingly rarer, perfect storm for the bulls.
A case for the bears:
- OLD NEWS... I would say that in crypto being the new kid on the block is very important for increasing the price of the token. We have seen in the last year many new L1's be released and have taken the spotlight away from older more established coins which can be disheartening for anyone that's holding ETH or looking to add ETH to their portfolio.
INJECTIVE, SUI, TIA to name a few often outperform the larger cap coins that are older as the potential to grow is much larger. Ethereum already has a market cap of $280B The likelihood of 5x, 10x or 20x gains are much lower than a smaller cap coin offering a similar service with newer technology. So for this reason I think the well established nature can work against Ethereum but it is worth saying that because of this it is less risky to invest in a larger cap coin when compared to smaller caps.
I'm keeping a keen eye on ETH both against stables and BTC pairs but will avoid getting drawn into the choppy price action. Only taken action at the key levels shown on the chart.
In the chart there are clear ranges for which I believe are worth trading. Range 1 & Range 2 are the HTF key levels, bouncing between the High, low and the midpoint of the range. Currently we have seen price be rejected from the Range 2 Midpoint the support comes from the $2130 level in the HTF but the red supporting trendline on the lower timeframes. For now the chop has kept ETH within those areas and until proven otherwise should be traded as such.
A case for the bulls on Ethereum :
- ETF narrative can be a powerful mover as has already been demonstrated with the BTC move all of last year. Now that the Ethereum ETF awaits approval we could see a similar rally towards the decision date at the end of May this year. It's important to note that this date is post BTC Halving event and historically a rally follows this event throughout the market.
- Deflationary tokenomics lend themselves to a bullish asset for investors because of simple supply and demand dynamics. With the inevitable increase in retail exposure that comes with a Bullrun in addition to BlackRock and other ETF providers buying large sums of the crypto to offer to customers. Naturally this increases price as demand is up, now couple that with a deflationary circulating supply and you have a very bullish scenario where a very sought after asset is becoming increasingly rarer, perfect storm for the bulls.
A case for the bears:
- OLD NEWS... I would say that in crypto being the new kid on the block is very important for increasing the price of the token. We have seen in the last year many new L1's be released and have taken the spotlight away from older more established coins which can be disheartening for anyone that's holding ETH or looking to add ETH to their portfolio.
INJECTIVE, SUI, TIA to name a few often outperform the larger cap coins that are older as the potential to grow is much larger. Ethereum already has a market cap of $280B The likelihood of 5x, 10x or 20x gains are much lower than a smaller cap coin offering a similar service with newer technology. So for this reason I think the well established nature can work against Ethereum but it is worth saying that because of this it is less risky to invest in a larger cap coin when compared to smaller caps.
I'm keeping a keen eye on ETH both against stables and BTC pairs but will avoid getting drawn into the choppy price action. Only taken action at the key levels shown on the chart.
Comment:
After a clean retest of the range high at $2700, ETH has taken off in pursuit of BTC and although price is up over 20% since then Ethereum is still trying to play catch up and hasn't broken out of a downtrend on the ETH/BTC pair.
In short the momentum is still with BTC, institutional buyers are still loading up their positions so it isn't ETH season just yet, and with the halving just around the corner it may still be BITCOIN season for a while longer.
For me I think $3600 liquidity zone is the target for now, swing fail after tagging that zone would be similar to how BTC tagged above 48K before dropping to 38K.
A 20% drop off would see ETH go from $3600 to $2800 if this move was to repeat itself. However, BTC has a controlling say in the market as of now and should always be factored into altcoins price action.
In short the momentum is still with BTC, institutional buyers are still loading up their positions so it isn't ETH season just yet, and with the halving just around the corner it may still be BITCOIN season for a while longer.
For me I think $3600 liquidity zone is the target for now, swing fail after tagging that zone would be similar to how BTC tagged above 48K before dropping to 38K.
A 20% drop off would see ETH go from $3600 to $2800 if this move was to repeat itself. However, BTC has a controlling say in the market as of now and should always be factored into altcoins price action.
I'm looking at BTC price action as it reaches its own Bearish OB, that would give more of an indication of trend.