ruud_one

ETHUSD - Bullish signs need confirmation

BITFINEX:ETHUSD   Ethereum
TL:DR - bullish signs appear at strong support levels, a close above $490 would give me confidence this is not another bull trap. Unfortunately volume is lacking to be confident in this positive price action. I expect range bound trading for the next 6+ months.

This is the ETHUSD chart with 1D candles. It's been a while since I have updated because until we break the short term dotted red downtrend line I don't see much room for Ethereum to move higher. Well in the last week we have seen promising signs of life. Ether bounced off the psychological low of $400(ish) and didn't even come close to testing the possible double bottom level at $369. This has set us up for a potential higher low which would be bullish.

With that being said I do not think we have definitively set a higher low. Price is still well within the range of the dotted red downtrend line that has acted as resistance for the last 2 months. It is promising that we have penetrated it but I would like to see a definitive close above it before calling that resistance line vanquished. I would prefer a price a close at $490 or more, otherwise he may well see price decline again.

At this point I am max invested in Ether and cannot take any more long positions although I would like to. This does not mean price cannot go down as it certainly can. I also do not think we are going to new All-Time-Highs anytime soon. My expectation for the next 6 months is range bound trading with resistance at $730 and $800 and support at $400.

***This is not investing advice. I am not an investing professional. Do not invest what you cannot afford to lose. All investors should seek guidance from licensed financial advisers and not random people on the internet.***
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.