LupaCapital

EUR GBP - channel - potential to break

Short
FX:EURGBP   Euro / British Pound
Hello traders and analysts,

Here is our take on EUR GBP

COT report:
Long Short Total %Long %Short
GBP 31,267 45,396 76,663 42% 58%
Euro 174,258 86,043 260,301 67% 33%

Technicals:
We have a good opportunity here to break the trendline as the top of the channel was rejected
However - weekly level has not been tested, so we still have an opportunity for a false break and back up.
Rising wedge is forming - where price can reject from the top.

for this trade however we are in short.
Add buy positions if a fakeout of the channel occurs as the channel will create a lower high.

Fundamentals
Coronavirus in the EU and UK - both showing cases in respective countries,
Euro stimulus package has not been agreed so can show signs of strength of GBP if this fails to transpire.
Brexit talks - will send the pound with huge strength once a deal is reached - inverse will send EUR to almost parity if talks end and no deal is reached
Keep a watch for manufacturing orders in Germany and any causes for concern within France, Italy, Germany and Spain which can drag data components down.

Why follow us?
Updates on our pairs as and when we can.
Swing trade out looks
10 years combined experience in capital markets
simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced .
KISS - keep it simple stupid.
we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise.

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Thanks,
Team Lupa
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