RCtrader2
Short

EURUSD 27-31 January 2020

FX:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
The H&S pattern on the H4/daily chart was validated. The price is so scheduled to dip to autumn lows.
Jan 26
Comment: Your comments and thumbs up are much wanted and I am grateful to receive them.
Jan 29
Trade active: In spite of yesterday's wide retracement, the sell was restarted.
Jan 29
Trade active: Another wide retracement due to FOMC.
Jan 31
Trade active: The pair made another wide retacement yesterday, nearing the mid area of what would be descending channel.
Jan 31
Trade active: The pair continued its bull rally in the US session.

Comments



I think the probabilities are in favor to the upside with this chart... I am still fearing the head and shoulders pattern though, but I still feel confident when it comes to taking a long trade considering the chart I just shared :)
+1 Reply
RCtrader2 MikulovicFOREX
@MikulovicFOREX, I think of placing an order at day opening, and if it makes a bullish retracement I could easily re-enter another short.
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I think you are betting against the long term trend direction in favor of the short term direction. I agree looking at your chart it appears to be a descending trend, but if you zoom out and look at a bigger picture like the chart above it really shows that what you are looking at as a downtrend, is simply a minor short term correction in the overall ascending channel..
I hope this explains it a little better
Good luck!!
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RCtrader2 MikulovicFOREX
@MikulovicFOREX, My long-term vision is 1.06 for this pair. See my idea, the EURUSD Weekly Channel.
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@RCtrader2, But that channel is invalid. If you use trendlines to measure the channel which should consist of lower lows and lower highs in your case, the trendlines can not penetrate the body of any single candle. Besides you did not use the recent lows / highs which also confirms that that trendline should not work in todays market, simply because it is used from past prices and not the recent..
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RCtrader2 MikulovicFOREX
@MikulovicFOREX, I disagree with it being invalid, though I understand your arguments. We will see in the next 6-10 months what is meant to happen to eurusd price action. :)
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@RCtrader2, You are right. Good luck to both of us!
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Good job
+1 Reply
RCtrader2 Saeed966
@Saeed966, I made a post that was directed to you. It is the one above yours. Cheers!
Reply
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