The_Cryptarch

Ford Motor Co OPTION CALL $15 Sep 17 '21

Long
The_Cryptarch Updated   
NYSE:F   FORD MTR CO DEL
Ford Motor Co OPTION CALL $15 Sep

What a recovery! While it's parabolic nature, I do believe it has enough upward momentum to reach my listed target.

VOLUME PROFILE (VPVR)
1. The pink Point of Control line (POC) at around $9 is where we find the highest trading volume. Make's sense! This is where we see our COVID sell off and initial resistance before the mega candle teleported us to $11.60's.
2. Volume Area (VA) is centered to the Y-Axis and our chart (Magenta/Blue area). Mmm...this suggests consolidation; however, our target price and Fibonacci range falls within this region. Which brings me to the next section:

FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT
The fib lines are where I start to gain trading confidence.
1. The first fib line @ .382 brings us to the POC line and first major resistance in Ford's recovery phase. Important to note that if price falls back here-which I find unlikely in the short term-we will probably head down to goblin town
2. The .5 region, which really isn't a fib ratio was torn through by a mega candle and ultimately settled as a local support region. If price were to pull back, $11.00 is the region I'd buy (well, if it closed above $11 on the daily)
3. The .618 region is where things get sporty. Pushing through the mid $12 range and holding support above the .618 should give us a free ride to the .786 and ultimately our $15 strike

THE RESISTANCE
I expect some push back at the two pink, dotted, horizontal lines. There will be selling pressure at these points as seen with recent attempts to push through $12.00. Failure to do so will bring us down support levels of $11.00 (Fib .5).
Spot bids @ current price ($11.60) and $11 would be good entry points IMO.

Let me know what you think
Comment:
Forgot to add--I published this idea after two members messaged me about the last $F chart. Wanted to clear some things up and fix the strike expiry to one that actually exists

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.