FaceBook: Have you missed it ?!

Quality company (5yr revenue growth +55%, long-term EPS +35%)
Trading at a premium valuation (63x PE, 8.5x P/BV)
Positively biased consensus with +19% upside target
Happy to own the stock for the long term, but at what price?

Superb up-channel post July 2013 breakout
Up-trend accentuation post Aug'15 flash crash
Technical picture positive on most time frames (M, W, D)
Has been registering higher highs and lows
Stock looking overbought on the longer time frames

Watch long entry points at 128/123.50/117

BUY 1xNov4'16 $135 call = $-2.07/share
SELL 2xNov4'16 $122 put = $0.99/share
TOTAL Pay $0.09/share to benefit from the upside
WORST case scenario: Go long -7% below current price
Trade active: Great numbers but cautious guidance on future growth momentum took a toll on the stock post-market, it seems. We should be exercised on the puts. Great news if the stock holds its up-channel above 118 (channel bottom and MA200 support). Bad news if it breaks it sustainably. I will update this trade/idea during market hours.
Trade active: FB still comfortably within the long term up-channel, and some 2.75% away from its bottom. The consolidation has taken the stock very near our $122 put strike.

At the current level, we might not be put on the options (too close to the money), in which case, we would be losing a meager $0.09/share.

If exercised nonetheless, I would keep the shares, targeting both a short-term rebound and a longer term move towards the upper part of the channel.
Trade closed: target reached: Call expired worthless. Puts assumed to be exercised. This trade is now closed with a total cost of $0.09/share (0.07% of stock price at trade inception). Picking up this idea in a new thread ("Playing up-channel rebound") which assumes a long position in FB at $122/share.
EN English
EN English (UK)
EN English (IN)
DE Deutsch
FR Français
ES Español
IT Italiano
PL Polski
SV Svenska
TR Türkçe
RU Русский
PT Português
ID Bahasa Indonesia
MS Bahasa Melayu
TH ภาษาไทย
VI Tiếng Việt
JA 日本語
KO 한국어
ZH 简体中文
ZH 繁體中文
AR العربية
HE עברית
Home Stock Screener Forex Screener Crypto Screener Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators Website & Broker Solutions Widgets Stock Charting Library Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Profile Profile Settings Account and Billing My Support Tickets Contact Support Ideas Published Followers Following Private Messages Chat Sign Out