HAL9000

PRO
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Last visit Joined a year ago Ameritoh
Trade for dollars, not for cents.
Markets Allocation
67 % stocks 24 % indices 9 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 22% | 10 GPRO 6% | 3 FB 6% | 3 LULU 6% | 3
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO MOY0, D, 2 days ago
MOY0: Consolidation Time
9 0 1
MOY0, D
Consolidation Time
After a +22.6% performance since late June 2016, this index has been looking stretched and bound for a consolidation. The long and medium term pictures are still looking positive, a testimony of the general bullish configuration we are still in. However, the short term (daily) has been consolidating form an ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO SPX, D, 2 days ago
SPX: Hanging High
25 0 2
SPX, D
Hanging High
THE TECHNICAL SITUATION: BREAKOUT ON Index still in bullish breakout mode, technically positive on most time frames. There is a general view -which I share- that a consolidation is long overdue. "Time consolidation" for now: Index flat while it works away its overbought condition. Valuation currently 50% > ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO TWTR, D, 8 days ago
TWTR: Confusing fundamentals, attractive technicals => ?!
64 0 4
TWTR, D
Confusing fundamentals, attractive technicals => ?!
MIXED PICTURE ON TWTR Fundamentals are still poor But the stock could be technically appealing TECHNICALS FIRST Up-channel in place since late May 2016 Short-term currently positive: Trading at the bottom of the channel Traders could trade the channel: Long around 16.50, short around 20.50 HOWEVER stock near ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO IBKR, D, Long , 9 days ago
IBKR: A trade for 2017...
48 0 1
IBKR, D Long
A trade for 2017...
Banks -> Asset Managers -> ?? ==> BROKERS ! SECTOR THEME FOR 2017 ? Main street banks flew first, and we are betting that asset managers will follow (LM, BX). And then what? The logical step down the sector will be the brokers: Smaller, less visible, less owned, yet sure to benefit from the pickup in trading ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO BIDU, D, Long , 9 days ago
BIDU: Back in fashion?
40 0 1
BIDU, D Long
Back in fashion?
GOOD FUNDAMENTALS Consensus = Buy Valuation = Appealing (PE 13.42x) Growth and profitability = Exceptional (ROE 44%, 5yr growth +53%) Only target price is weak (flat), but could it be revised upwards? TREND PICKUP Sitting on the long-term MA50 support Closed just below the medium-term MA100 resistance Looks like ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO KSS, D, 14 days ago
KSS: Another volatility spike
46 0 1
KSS, D
Another volatility spike
Same story as Macy's: - Disappointing Christmas sales - Disappointing, revised guidance - Double broker downgrade Stock indicated down 15% Wide gap (46-49) to be bridged Volatility should spike accordingly Opportunity to sell 10% OTM puts on the 20 Jan maturity
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO M, D, 14 days ago
M: Sell volatility on the spike post numbers.
56 0 4
M, D
Sell volatility on the spike post numbers.
POOR FUNDAMENTALS CONFIRMED Macy's just released disappointing sales figures and guidance. Announcing 68 store closures and the layoff of 10,000 employees. The stock is indicated 10% down to 32.20. Consensus is already quite down-beat on the story, and likely to become even more so. Expect downgrades on the back of ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO FB, D, Long , 14 days ago
FB: Three times lucky?
108 0 8
FB, D Long
Three times lucky?
Since late October, there has been some fear about the long term FB uptrend being compromised. This scenario is increasingly unlikely since the recent, triple rebound around 114. In this context, FB has also been registering higher lows (another positive). Short term momentum pickup looks healthy and deserves to be ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO DIS, D, Long , 14 days ago
DIS: From strength to strength
69 0 5
DIS, D Long
From strength to strength
Yesterday's close >$106.75 gives breakout signal I was waiting for. Impressive turnaround since last earnings publication (stock up c. +17%): - Mr. Iger's suggested that ESPN worries might be overdone; - This gave the impulse the market was looking for. Currently positive on most time frames. Encouraging 50/200 ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO CS, D, Long , 14 days ago
CS: On the verge of another breakout?
39 0 3
CS, D Long
On the verge of another breakout?
If you own European Insurance, hold on to it! AXA has been breaking out repeatedly, in sequence. Very healthy sign, for a stock which has been showing momentum strength on all time frames. Non holders should look at getting long towards the bottom of the current range, at about 23.50. This should be feasible as the ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO ATVI, D, Long , 14 days ago
ATVI: Momentum pickup after healthy consolidation.
73 0 6
ATVI, D Long
Momentum pickup after healthy consolidation.
FUNDAMENTALLY SOLID - A global leader in its sector - Sector with significant growth potential: Gaming - Consensus very bullish with a BUY recommendation - Average target upside of 30% - Has consolidated some 20% since the historical high - Consolidation partially due to earnings disappointment - Market likely to ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO SPX, D, Short , 16 days ago
SPX: Equity index consolidation visible: Caution required.
76 0 4
SPX, D Short
Equity index consolidation visible: Caution required.
Many signs point to the start of a consolidation in the S&P500: - High triangle formation has failed to produce a breakout; - Price has broken the MA20 to the downside; - RSI trend has turned negative; - MACD has turned negative. This confirms my recent view that the main US Equity index has been overbought and ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO CCL, D, Short , a month ago
CCL: Signs of divergence: Get exposed to earnings disappointment.
42 0 4
CCL, D Short
Signs of divergence: Get exposed to earnings disappointment.
CCL SHOWING DIVERGENT SIGNS: - Long and short term negative trends, while the medium term is still up trending; - Golden cross in mid November suggesting upside on the uptrend; - Multiple rejections at/above 53 suggesting more downside; - Down trending MACD and RSI; - Mildly positive consensus (closer to a HOLD); - ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO SPX, D, Short , a month ago
SPX: Is this equity market walking on its head?
110 0 4
SPX, D Short
Is this equity market walking on its head?
HAWKISH YELLEN Rate hike confirmed as expected 3 hikes this year instead of 2 --> Faster yield curve steepening than expected SOME EXPECTED THEORETICAL OUTCOMES Stronger USD --> Bad for exporting companies (negative for equities) Higher rates --> Bad for equity valuations (negative for equities) Higher inflation ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO TSN, D, Long , a month ago
TSN: Fundamentally appealing, technically left out
59 0 5
TSN, D Long
Fundamentally appealing, technically left out
FUNDAMENTALLY APPEALING AND LEFT OUT Tyson Food is a consumer non-cyclical stock which has been left out of the "Trump" rally. Fundamentally appealing, defensive growth story (ROE 18.32%, 5yr rev growth 2.86%). The consensus has a BUY recommendation with 13% upside. Valuation is appealing, below market (P/E ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO LULU, D, Long , a month ago
LULU: Fundamental improvement drives stock re-rating
54 0 3
LULU, D Long
Fundamental improvement drives stock re-rating
This thread/idea takes over from the previous one, where we initiated a long position at 55. We assume a long position at $60/share to take into account the call conversions (please see related idea below). FUNDAMENTALS ON THE UP AND UP LULU surprised positively on both top and bottom lines Most notable ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO SPX, D, a month ago
SPX: SPX: The noly way is up?!
98 0 3
SPX, D
SPX: The noly way is up?!
ALL SYSTEMS IN THE GREEN FOR THE MAIN US EQUITY INDEX - Clear uptrend showing on all time frames; - Technical picture positive on all time frames; - Has broken out since the end of the rounding top; - Looks like it is engaged in a new uptrend. HOWEVER, LOOKING OVERBOUGHT AT THE CURRENT LEVELS - RSI >76 on the ...
HAL9000 HAL9000 PRO MNK, D, Long , 2 months ago
MNK: Technical divergence to be resolved upwards?
92 0 4
MNK, D Long
Technical divergence to be resolved upwards?
COMPELLING FUNDAMENTALS With a strong buy recommendation from the consensus and a 55% target upside, this stock looks fundamentally compelling The company has average revenue growth of 11% with an R.O.E. of 9.25% and an undemanding valuation (P.E. 12x, P/BV 1x) The pharma sector might also provide interesting ...
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