FLARE pressing the MAX PAIN button before LIFFOFF? Or SELLOFF?
There is a concept in cryptocurrency trading... "Max Pain."
But first, we have to understand a Bull Flag Pattern.
In the context of a highly volatile cryptocurrency marketplace, a **bull flag pattern** is a significant indicator in technical analysis ⁶⁷⁸. This pattern is typically formed during an uptrend and is considered a continuation pattern, suggesting that the price is likely to continue rising ⁶⁷⁸.
The bull flag pattern consists of two main components: the **pole** and the **flag**⁶⁷⁸. The pole represents a robust upward price movement, while the flag represents a period of consolidation or sideways price movement ⁶⁷⁸.
When a bull flag pattern is identified, and the sellers' pressure is exhausted, it often indicates a potential upward breakout⁶⁷⁸. This is because the consolidation period (the flag) allows for the accumulation of buyers, and once this period ends, the buying pressure can push the price upwards⁶⁷⁸.
The expected outcome, based on the history of candlestick chart patterns, is that the price will continue upwards roughly the length of the pole⁶. This is known as the measured height method ⁶. However, if the support of the bull flag is breached, it indicates that the pattern is invalid and a continuation is unlikely⁶.
(1) Crypto Trading 101: Bull and Bear Flags (And What They Mean ... - CoinDesk. www.coindesk.com/lea...hey-mean-for-price/.
(2) A Comprehensive Guide to the Flag Patterns and How to Trade Bull and .... www.kucoin.com/learn...bull-and-bear-flags.
(3) Bull Flag Pattern: Explaining the Bullish Crypto Indicator. dydx.exchange/crypto...-learning/bull-flag.
(4) How to Read the Most Popular Crypto Candlestick Patterns. academy.binance.com/...andlestick-patterns.
(5) How To Read Crypto Candlestick Charts | Ledger. www.ledger.com/acade...ck-charts-explained.
(6) Bitcoin Real-Time Candlestick Patterns (BRTI) - Investing.com. www.investing.com/in...al-time-candlestick.
(7) How To Read Crypto Candlestick Charts - Easy Tricks To Understanding .... cryptowhat.com/blog/...candlestick-charts/.
(8) 16 Types of Candlestick Patterns in Crypto. site.zenledger.io/bl...ndlestick-patterns/.
(9) Bull Flag Pattern in Crypto: Meaning and How to Identify - CoinGape. coingape.com/educati...nd-how-to-identify/.
(10) Bull Flag Pattern - What Is It? How To Use It?. site.zenledger.io/bl.../bull-flag-pattern/.
When a bull flag pennant is broken to the downside, it typically indicates a **failed pattern** ². This means that the expected upward breakout did not occur; instead, the price has broken through the lower boundary of the pennant².
This can signal that the previous upward trend is weakening, and a downward trend may be beginning ². Traders might interpret this as a sell signal, as it suggests that the buying pressure has been overcome by selling pressure².
However, it's important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof, and other factors can influence the price movement. Therefore, traders usually use these patterns with other indicators and tools to make more informed trading decisions ².
(1) Bull Flag Trading Pattern Explained | TradingSim. www.tradingsim.com/b...xplained-tradingsim.
(2) Bull Pennant Pattern: What It Is, Indicates, and Examples - Bullish Bears. bullishbears.com/bull-pennants/.
(3) Bullish Pennant Pattern - New Trader U. www.newtraderu.com/2...sh-pennant-pattern/.
(4) How To Trade The Bull Pennant Pattern - HowToTrade.com. howtotrade.com/chart...ll-pennant-pattern/.
(5) Learn about Bull Flag Candlestick Pattern | ThinkMarkets | UK. www.thinkmarkets.com.../bull-flag-pattern/.
MAX PAIN.
"Max Pain" is a term used in options trading to describe a situation where the market price of particular securities close to expiration tends to expire worthless². This is based on the Maximum Pain Theory, which states that there will be a maximum loss to investors who buy and hold option contracts until the expiration date².
The concept of Max Pain is derived from the observation that the price of an underlying stock tends to gravitate towards its "maximum pain strike price"—the price where the most significant number of options (in dollar value) will expire worthless¹. This is the strike price with the most open options contracts (i.e., puts and calls), and it is the price at which the stock would cause financial losses for the largest number of option holders at expiration¹.
The Maximum Pain theory works under the assumption that near the expiration date, buying and selling stock options leads to price movements towards the point of maximum pain, or market makers manipulate price indices to gain more from the closing stock price².
The calculation of the Max Pain point involves the summation of the dollar values of outstanding put and call options for each in-the-money strike price¹. For each in-the-money strike price for both puts and calls, you find the difference between the stock price and strike price, multiply the result by open interest at that strike, and add the dollar value for the put and call at that strike¹.
However, it's important to note that the Maximum Pain Theory is somewhat controversial. Critics are divided on whether the maximum pain behavior of the close stock prices occurs by chance or is a matter of market manipulation².
(1) Max Pain (Options) - Overview, How It Works, Calculation. corporatefinanceinst...s/max-pain-options/.
(2) Max Pain Explained: How It's Calculated, With Examples - Investopedia. www.investopedia.com...terms/m/maxpain.asp.
(3) What Is Max Pain in Options Trading? | SoFi. www.sofi.com/learn/c...t/max-pain-options/.
But first, we have to understand a Bull Flag Pattern.
In the context of a highly volatile cryptocurrency marketplace, a **bull flag pattern** is a significant indicator in technical analysis ⁶⁷⁸. This pattern is typically formed during an uptrend and is considered a continuation pattern, suggesting that the price is likely to continue rising ⁶⁷⁸.
The bull flag pattern consists of two main components: the **pole** and the **flag**⁶⁷⁸. The pole represents a robust upward price movement, while the flag represents a period of consolidation or sideways price movement ⁶⁷⁸.
When a bull flag pattern is identified, and the sellers' pressure is exhausted, it often indicates a potential upward breakout⁶⁷⁸. This is because the consolidation period (the flag) allows for the accumulation of buyers, and once this period ends, the buying pressure can push the price upwards⁶⁷⁸.
The expected outcome, based on the history of candlestick chart patterns, is that the price will continue upwards roughly the length of the pole⁶. This is known as the measured height method ⁶. However, if the support of the bull flag is breached, it indicates that the pattern is invalid and a continuation is unlikely⁶.
(1) Crypto Trading 101: Bull and Bear Flags (And What They Mean ... - CoinDesk. www.coindesk.com/lea...hey-mean-for-price/.
(2) A Comprehensive Guide to the Flag Patterns and How to Trade Bull and .... www.kucoin.com/learn...bull-and-bear-flags.
(3) Bull Flag Pattern: Explaining the Bullish Crypto Indicator. dydx.exchange/crypto...-learning/bull-flag.
(4) How to Read the Most Popular Crypto Candlestick Patterns. academy.binance.com/...andlestick-patterns.
(5) How To Read Crypto Candlestick Charts | Ledger. www.ledger.com/acade...ck-charts-explained.
(6) Bitcoin Real-Time Candlestick Patterns (BRTI) - Investing.com. www.investing.com/in...al-time-candlestick.
(7) How To Read Crypto Candlestick Charts - Easy Tricks To Understanding .... cryptowhat.com/blog/...candlestick-charts/.
(8) 16 Types of Candlestick Patterns in Crypto. site.zenledger.io/bl...ndlestick-patterns/.
(9) Bull Flag Pattern in Crypto: Meaning and How to Identify - CoinGape. coingape.com/educati...nd-how-to-identify/.
(10) Bull Flag Pattern - What Is It? How To Use It?. site.zenledger.io/bl.../bull-flag-pattern/.
When a bull flag pennant is broken to the downside, it typically indicates a **failed pattern** ². This means that the expected upward breakout did not occur; instead, the price has broken through the lower boundary of the pennant².
This can signal that the previous upward trend is weakening, and a downward trend may be beginning ². Traders might interpret this as a sell signal, as it suggests that the buying pressure has been overcome by selling pressure².
However, it's important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof, and other factors can influence the price movement. Therefore, traders usually use these patterns with other indicators and tools to make more informed trading decisions ².
(1) Bull Flag Trading Pattern Explained | TradingSim. www.tradingsim.com/b...xplained-tradingsim.
(2) Bull Pennant Pattern: What It Is, Indicates, and Examples - Bullish Bears. bullishbears.com/bull-pennants/.
(3) Bullish Pennant Pattern - New Trader U. www.newtraderu.com/2...sh-pennant-pattern/.
(4) How To Trade The Bull Pennant Pattern - HowToTrade.com. howtotrade.com/chart...ll-pennant-pattern/.
(5) Learn about Bull Flag Candlestick Pattern | ThinkMarkets | UK. www.thinkmarkets.com.../bull-flag-pattern/.
MAX PAIN.
"Max Pain" is a term used in options trading to describe a situation where the market price of particular securities close to expiration tends to expire worthless². This is based on the Maximum Pain Theory, which states that there will be a maximum loss to investors who buy and hold option contracts until the expiration date².
The concept of Max Pain is derived from the observation that the price of an underlying stock tends to gravitate towards its "maximum pain strike price"—the price where the most significant number of options (in dollar value) will expire worthless¹. This is the strike price with the most open options contracts (i.e., puts and calls), and it is the price at which the stock would cause financial losses for the largest number of option holders at expiration¹.
The Maximum Pain theory works under the assumption that near the expiration date, buying and selling stock options leads to price movements towards the point of maximum pain, or market makers manipulate price indices to gain more from the closing stock price².
The calculation of the Max Pain point involves the summation of the dollar values of outstanding put and call options for each in-the-money strike price¹. For each in-the-money strike price for both puts and calls, you find the difference between the stock price and strike price, multiply the result by open interest at that strike, and add the dollar value for the put and call at that strike¹.
However, it's important to note that the Maximum Pain Theory is somewhat controversial. Critics are divided on whether the maximum pain behavior of the close stock prices occurs by chance or is a matter of market manipulation².
(1) Max Pain (Options) - Overview, How It Works, Calculation. corporatefinanceinst...s/max-pain-options/.
(2) Max Pain Explained: How It's Calculated, With Examples - Investopedia. www.investopedia.com...terms/m/maxpain.asp.
(3) What Is Max Pain in Options Trading? | SoFi. www.sofi.com/learn/c...t/max-pain-options/.