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GBP/USD Surges to Two-Month High Amid Dollar Weakness and Dovish

Short
FX:GBPUSD   British Pound / U.S. Dollar
GBP/USD Surges to Two-Month High Amid Dollar Weakness and Dovish Fed Outlook

The GBP/USD pair is on an upward trajectory, marking its third consecutive day of gains and reaching over a two-month high in the early European session on Tuesday. The pair is currently holding firm in the 1.2520-1.2535 region, indicating potential for further upside as it capitalizes on the prevailing bearish sentiment surrounding the US Dollar (USD).

The weakening of the USD is evident in the USD Index (DXY), which has descended to its lowest level since August 31. This decline is fueled by growing expectations of a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed). Investors are increasingly convinced that the Fed has concluded its tightening policy, leading to speculations of potential rate cuts in 2024. This sentiment, coupled with a decrease in US Treasury bond yields and a positive tone in equity markets, serves as a catalyst for the GBP/USD pair.

However, amid the bullish rally, caution is warranted as technical indicators suggest a potential retracement. The H1 RSI (Relative Strength Index) is signaling a divergence with an overbought scenario. This divergence often precedes a corrective move or reversal, prompting traders to exercise prudence and monitor the market closely for signs of a potential pullback.

As the GBP/USD pair maintains its upward momentum, traders and investors will closely watch for any developments in the US Dollar's strength, the Fed's monetary policy signals, and broader market sentiment. The interplay of these factors will likely determine the future trajectory of the currency pair in the coming sessions.

Our Preferences:

Below 1.2600 look for further downside with 1.24500 & 1.23700 as targets.

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