GBP/USD fails to surge above 1.3320
Morning outlook - GBP/USD fails to surge above 1.3320
Although the US data release, in general, appeared to be worse than expected, the upside momentum was not strong enough to push the pair above the monthly PP at 1.3322. The presence of a recently formed ascending channel whose bottom boundary is backed up by the rising 55-, 100-, 200-hour SMAs suggests that the currency rate most probably is going to break through that resistance and continue to move to the north.
On the other hand, there are two large unconfirmed channels who boundaries are located near the 1.3330 mark and that might turnaround the pair. Finally, there is a need to take into account that this week will be full of the UK data releases, including inflation and retail sales, that are expected to have a notable impact on further direction of the pair.
Although the US data release, in general, appeared to be worse than expected, the upside momentum was not strong enough to push the pair above the monthly PP at 1.3322. The presence of a recently formed ascending channel whose bottom boundary is backed up by the rising 55-, 100-, 200-hour SMAs suggests that the currency rate most probably is going to break through that resistance and continue to move to the north.
On the other hand, there are two large unconfirmed channels who boundaries are located near the 1.3330 mark and that might turnaround the pair. Finally, there is a need to take into account that this week will be full of the UK data releases, including inflation and retail sales, that are expected to have a notable impact on further direction of the pair.
Although the Pound had all means to continue the surge, but confident appreciation of the Dollar prevented the pair from breaking through the monthly PP at 1.3322. On the other hand, this rebound to certain extent confirmed that the pair is trading simultaneously in three different channels.
The fact that market sentiment is neutral and an aggregate of technical indicators sends a mixed signal suggests that traders are preparing for release of the UK inflation data as well Governor Carney’s testimony. If experts’ prognoses will match with reality, the rate most probably is going to fall from the junior ascending channel straight to the 200-hour SMA near 1.32.
In the opposite case, bulls will have a good chance to make another attempt bypass the above monthly PP, simultaneously breaking through the upper edge of a supposed dominant descending channel.