GBP/USD Dips Below 1.2700 as UK Economic Data Sparks Concerns

GBP/USD Dips Below 1.2700 as UK Economic Data Sparks Concerns

In a fluctuating market, the GBP/USD currency pair took a downward turn, plummeting to a fresh weekly low beneath the 1.2700 level. The Asian trading session saw the pair navigating a narrow range around 1.2750, only to descend as the day progressed. The failure to recapture the 1.2700 level may pave the way for further losses in the immediate future.

The Pound Sterling found itself in the crosshairs of extensive selling pressure as UK economic indicators unveiled a troubling loss of momentum within the economy. The S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) exhibited a significant decline, plummeting to 42.5 (based on preliminary estimates) in August. Moreover, the Services PMI recorded a steep drop from 51.5 in July to 48.7, indicating a notable deterioration.

Today's Pound Sterling Price Movement

Today's dynamics of the Pound Sterling (GBP) against major listed currencies are displayed in the table below. Among these, the GBP experienced its most pronounced weakness against the Japanese Yen.

Market insights from Reuters reveal that interest rate swaps reflect a market sentiment of less than 50% probability for the Bank of England's terminal rate to reach 6% following the disappointing PMI revelations.

Upon closer examination of the PMI surveys, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, observed, "The initial PMI survey for August suggests that inflation is likely to ease further in the upcoming months, but it also highlights the significant cost of curbing inflation in terms of heightened recession risks."

Williamson added a cautionary note, "Although a further interest rate hike in September seems probable, the August PMI data fuels speculation that rates could approach their zenith in the near future."

As the day advances, all eyes turn toward the release of S&P Global PMI data from the United States. Positive PMI figures could potentially bolster the USD, but a bullish start in the Wall Street trading session could challenge the currency's ability to sustain its strength. Presently, US stock index futures show gains ranging from 0.4% to 0.75%, suggesting a positive market sentiment that may influence the broader trading landscape.

Our preference

Long positions above 1.2650 with targets at 1.2740 & 1.2765 in extension.