This red, long vertical line is placed here to show the date of Scotland's independece referendum. Outcome of this referendum might be heavily injuring for UK. Wondering now wherther or not Scotland's independece is already priced in and what will happen if result shows that they will actually stay with UK.
What the price suggests is that, their independecte is mostly priced in so the impulse could be long for both the YES or NO as a result of the voting. Why? Because YES would only add-up more reasons to sell and NO would be a signal that we've pushed it too low in advance, and would mean that UK economy is safe for now causing some (or most) of all these short positions to take profit and wait till situation clears out.
What will actually happen to UK if the result is YES?
Less income from taxes, less people to contribute to GDP and overall economic growth, less people to take credit from UK's banks and first attempts to build independent monetary circulation system that doesn't support UK (or at least attempts to). There obviously are more outcomes of this but i'm only trying to imagine the scale of it and wondering if there could be any positive outcomes of independent Scotland for UK.