DAX - short term bounce played as expected

FX:GER30   DAX Index
The lines I drew in my previous 2 posts played out pretty much as expected. The 2/B was a bit sharper and shook-off quite a few traders on both sides, I'm sure, but bigger picture we had 5 waves up and 3 down. The big question now is if the 3/C is done at the recent high or still has another high to make.

So far this wave has been very sharp and nested, so it's quite difficult to state with certainty which case it is. The most bullish scenario would be that this big ramp was only wave 1 of the 5 waves needed to put in a 3/C. Next in line is having 3 waves up so far, with this correction being 4 and needing another high to finish. The bear option is the 3/C is done, and the downside should resume.

Action in the short term will be telling, as well as when the current correction finishes. This is exactly the type of environment in which the tools developed by mcm come in handy. Check out the article on dax             (it is a bit old, but adds some details about how the tools work).

So far the shorter term cycles are showing downward impulses in the making. If those are confirmed on longer time frames the downside could accelerate. If you have any questions about the tools, feel free to contact me at

Good luck out there!

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