sdajdsa

"Will there be a new high or a decline in gold?"(골드 신고점 갱신여부)

Short
TVC:GOLD   CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)

Scenario 1 >>> Looking at the highest point as the end of the 5th wave, we can expect primary support in the 1927-1934 range where two Fibonacci retracement zones and HVP support levels overlap, at the level of a Fibonacci 2 retracement. If primary support is confirmed, we can expect resistance at the next b-wave in the Fibonacci retracement zone of 1960, which could also be a good opportunity to re-enter a short position after confirming resistance.

Scenario 2 >>> If the market does not fall into the 1927-1934 range and instead rebounds, we should pay attention to the mint-colored trend line. If we confirm a retest at the mint-colored trend line and it becomes resistance, we could consider entering a short position (of course, with an exit strategy in place). If the market enters back within the trend line, we could confirm support and re-enter a long position, but it may be better to wait and see.

Scenario 3 >>> If support in the 1927-1934 range is not confirmed, we should check for S/R (support/resistance) flip. If an S/R flip occurs and resistance is confirmed at 1927-1934, we could consider re-entering a short position. If the market breaks through the resistance instead of bouncing off it, it may be better to wait and see.

+++ Primary support is at 1927-1934, and secondary support is at 1874-1897 (which could potentially lead to a fall in the c-wave).
+++ RSI divergence has also been confirmed as a bearish divergence, which is the most recent one. GOLD

시나리오1 >>> 최고점을 5파의 끝으로보았을때 a파가 피보나치 2개의되돌림구간과 HVP 매물대가 곂치는 1927~1934 구간에서
1차 지지를 기대해볼수있습니다.
만약 1차 지지가 나온다면 다음 b파를 5파의 피보나치 되돌림 구간인 1960에서 저항을 기대해볼수있습니다
저항확인후 다시 숏 진입해보는것도 괜찮아보입니다.

시나리오2 >>> 만약 1927~1934구간까지 하락을 안하고 반등시 우리는 민트색 추세선을 주목해야합니다
민트색 추세선에서 리테스트여부를 확인해애되는데 만약 저항을 맞는다면 숏을 진입해볼수있고(당연한소리지만 손절은 이탈)
다시금 추세선 안에들어온다면 지지확인후 롱으로 재진입해볼수도있습니다(하지만 이경우는 관망이 좋을듯)

시나리오3 >>> 1927~1934구간에서 지지를 못하는경우 S/R flip 여부를 확인해봐야합니다
만약 S/R flip이 일어나서 1927~1934에서 저항이 나온다면 숏으로 재진입할수있고
다시 저항이 아닌 돌파를한다면 관망하는것이 좋을것같습니다

+++ 1차 지지는 : 1927~1934
2차 지지는 : 1874 ~ 1897 구간입니다(c파하락까지 기대해볼수있는구간
+++ rsi 다이버전스도 하락다이버전스로 확인되었습니다(가장 최근다이버전스)

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.