bruceyam
Long

HSI is possible to make a double top or new time high again

TVC:HSI   Hang Seng Index
Hang Seng Index has rally back above 292000, the low of Previous Wave one low. according to the Elliott wave rule: W4 should not enter W1. it's happening right now. so we could consider the previous one is not a impulse leg for downside movement. if it's not a downside one, we should be looking for a wave 5 rally then. a wave 5 rally should be looking for test the 2017 previous high. 33484 or even a new high. of course we might also face a failing wave 5 which is just below 33484.
Last Friday we have a high volume day with 120b, with 1/4/2019 have a gap open above 29200, these are all bullish technical signal. Fundamentally, Bloomberg said that yuan-denominated government bonds and policy bank securities would be added to the US$54 trillion Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index from April and would be phased in over a 20-month period. When fully implemented, local currency Chinese bonds would be the fourth largest currency component in the index behind the US dollar , the euro and the Japanese yen , Bloomberg said.
also the China and US trade talk give a positive atmosphere, in Beijing talk, it's rumor that a official welcome dinner is replace by a working dinner. so both are working very hard on details of the deal. if the China America trade deal hit the market, it will fuel the rally too.


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