drchelsea1

INTC - Earnings Breakout to $75

Long
drchelsea1 Updated   
NASDAQ:INTC   Intel Corporation
0. Notes to follow;
Comment:
This is a tough one. I don't really like Intel, as I am an AMD person as you may know. Be that as it may, analysis is warranted, and my personal opinion, is irrelevant;

1. Stock in a major consolidation / distribution pattern since $42.75 area;

2. Stock has consolidated along the way, with definite patterns;

3. Stock currently at $60, and clearly wants to break out or break down;

4. Ultimately, INTC is the pivotal semi-conductor stock and the guidance here is all that matters, especially in relation to the cycle;

5. The Market will stop on January 23rd, for the INTC earnings report;

6. A lot of negative sentiment is already priced in, including but not limited to, competition, failure of 10nm+ process, poor earnings, revenue, and weak guidance. This stock will set the stage for the NEXT part of this rally;

7. So because this stock is sitting at a MAJOR resistance point, and because this stock has consolidated for so long, I would think a BREAKOUT to $75 is in the cards;

8. You need to look at this in terms of risk reward. I think the stock is probably priced, lets look, 6.8 PERCENT move. So the FEB 21 $60.50 Straddle is $4.08;

9. Straddle is for mathematically inferior strategies; don't waste your time or money;

0. We suggest you go long on INTC and buy a couple hundred shares and add them to your portfolio;

1. We also like the Feb $65 at 50c or something in this magnitude. You decide of course. Throw $500 at INTC, and see where it goes. It it hits $65 after earnings, you will be ITM and have 30 days or so on the contract to let it run, take profits, or wait and maybe convert some into shares. Also, if it tanks, really most of the MARKET probably goes with it?

2. Risk / Reward is great, especially if you are hedging a bunch of SMH and semis and such in your portfolio anyway;

- drchelsea
Comment:
This is sweet from today I think:

Intel (INTC) upgraded to Hold from Underperform at Jefferies with analyst Mark Lipacis saying he sees three catalysts that "set the table for dramatic change in 2020-21," namely the fact that ten long-standing senior executives have left Intel in the past six months, the fact that the company has ceded transistor leadership in the industry for the "first time in decades" and the fact that the CEO's bonus plan includes a $30M performance bonus that kicks in should the stock hit $62 for 30 days.
Trade active:
Look at INTC move again this morning. Those boys at DAVOS want their new "performance bonus"
Comment:
"A 30M PERFORMANCE BONUS THAT KICKS IN SHOULD THE STOCK HIT $62 FOR 30 DAYS"

Are you kidding me?

This TRADE is a GIFT from (Place X Here)!
Comment:
Market down nicely, and INTC still running hard.

en.wikipedia.org/wik...i/Prediction_Company
Comment:
ANY MORE QUESTIONS?
Comment:
INTC up 6.6% AFTER Hours.

Pete Nigerian talked about unusual activity a few hours ago on INTC, and the CNBC desk said, "Don't touch it with a 10 foot pole.".

Fools.

Now they are talking saying how beautiful Intel looks.

Upgrades tomorrow.
Comment:
The unusual activity was US yesterday and the day before. We always take positions at least one day before posting.
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