Our expectations for the stock market from the current season are quite optimistic, and as for the US banking sector, they are doubly optimistic.
Let's start with the fact that recently the financial results of corporation act as a catalyst for the growth of American stocks. Here are just a few of the most typical examples: after the publication of the previous financial quarterly report, Apple shares went up by 5% in just one day and increased by 10% during the next week. On the shares of Facebook , everything was even more dynamic - shares during one (!) day grew by 10% (!). Shares of Amazon grew by 15% in just 3 (!) days.
As for the banking sector in general and JPMorgan and CitiGroup in particular, despite the negative reaction of the markets to the quarterly results last time (the results, by the way, were better than the forecasts), we consider the existing conditions to be almost ideal for qualitative and quantitative growth of financial indicators of these banks. This is primarily about the growth of US interest rates, which allow banks to increase their margins and, accordingly, to increase . In addition, Trump's tax reform and the general economic state of the US allow us to expect another excess of expert forecasts from JPMorgan and CitiGroup .
We also note that both banks are characterized by an aggressive dividend policy. And if JPMorgan has long been yielding dividends at 2% per annum, CitiGroup has intensified only recently. But how they became much more active. The growth of dividend payments amounted to almost 200% (!). All this is a serious additional argument in favor of buying shares of JPMorgan and CitiGroup .
Given that the financial results will be published tomorrow BEFORE the opening of the market, the decision on the trade must be taken now. Both shares are near the lower boundaries of their medium-term ranges. So, the prices for purchases are ideal. As for the growth prospects, in both cases we are talking about +/-10% returns (without the leverage). So, in our opinion, these trades (buy JPMorgan and CitiGroup shares) are extremely attractive from all positions, both technical and fundamental. Our recommendation is the purchase of shares of JPMorgan and CitiGroup today from the current prices. Because tomorrow it may be too late.