Citigroup
Citigroup $C: The Restructuring Wall | Target $116.19Technical Breakdown: The Breakdown Level
The 2-hour chart shows Citigroup losing its primary horizontal support, signalling a potential trend reversal.
Resistance: The prior support at $125.88 is now likely to act as a "ceiling" for any relief rallies.
Targets: * T1 ($121.84): Immediate horizontal support from the April consolidation.
T2 ($116.19): The primary structural target if the sector-wide "CRE and Inflation" narrative takes hold.
5 Bearish Worries.
1. Persistent Inflation & Loan Demand 💳
While high rates initially helped Net Interest Income (NII), persistent inflation is now a double-edged sword.
As of May 2026, the Fed notes that banking lending standards for commercial loans have only just begun to "ease," yet business debt as a fraction of GDP continues to trend down, signalling a lack of appetite for new borrowing.
2. The Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Vulnerability 🏗️
Vulnerabilities remain high due to upcoming refinancing needs in the office and retail sectors. With the "transaction-based price index" for CRE properties only just stabilizing after major declines, any further rate volatility could trigger the "credit loss" spike the market has been fearing.
3. The Stablecoin "Disintermediation" Threat ⛓️
A major 2026 policy shift highlights that yield-bearing stablecoins are actively reducing bank deposits and lending.
New research suggests that for every dollar of stablecoin adoption, bank deposits could eventually decline by an equivalent amount, threatening to destroy up to $3.7 trillion in traditional deposits by 2030.
This "latent threat" forces Citi to compete more aggressively for deposits, compressing margins.
4. Trading & Fee Business Fatigue 📉
Citi's Q1 was "artificially" boosted by geopolitical volatility which drove record fixed-income trading revenue ($24.63B total revenue).
As volatility matures into a "slower growth" reality, this high-margin fee business is expected to face a significant year-over-year "comp" challenge in the coming quarters.
5. Cyberattack Risk & "Restructuring Fatigue" 🛡️
Despite CEO Jane Fraser declaring the bank has "rebuilt the engine" and announcing a $30 billion buyback, the market is wary of "execution risk".
Ongoing investments in AI and digital transformation are necessary but expensive, especially as systemic cyberattacks on global payment functions remain a top-tier financial stability risk for 180+ country operations like Citi's.
#C #Citigroup #BankingCrisis #CRE #MacroTrading #Stablecoins #Finance2026 #TechnicalAnalysis #ShortIdea
Quant Note: Citi's RSI on the 2h chart is approaching "Oversold" territory (~32), but the $125 level flip suggests that any bounce will likely be a "Sell the Rip" opportunity rather than a V-shaped recovery.
Citigroup — Transformation Momentum Driving Profitability GrowthCitigroup $C is one of the world’s largest financial institutions, operating across investment banking, markets, wealth management, and consumer banking in more than 160 countries.
Key Catalysts:
Transformation nearing completion:
Under CEO Jane Fraser, Citigroup’s restructuring is now ~90% complete, focused on simplifying operations, exiting non-core markets, and concentrating on higher-return businesses.
Strong financial momentum:
Q1 2026 results showed:
Revenue: $24.6B (+14% YoY)
Net Income: $5.8B (+42% YoY)
Performance improved across major segments, signaling stronger operational execution and earnings momentum.
Efficiency & profitability gains:
Cost discipline continues to improve margins, with the cost-to-income ratio declining to 58.1%, supporting expanding profitability and higher ROTCE (Return on Tangible Common Equity).
Global banking exposure:
Citigroup’s broad international footprint positions it to benefit from improving capital markets activity, cross-border transactions, and wealth growth in emerging economies.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish above: $116.00–$117.00
Upside target: $165.00–$170.00
Supported by restructuring progress, rising profitability, and operational efficiency improvements, Citigroup is positioning itself for a stronger long-term valuation re-rating.
Citigroup Trend Continuation Setup Powered by Hull MA Signal🏦💰 CITIGROUP ($C) - The Bank Heist Setup | Hull MA Pullback Confirmed 🎯
📊 CURRENT MARKET DATA (Real-Time Feed: Dec 10, 2025)
💵 Current Price: $109.26 USD
📈 Day Change: +$0.34 (+0.31%)
🔥 52-Week Range: $55.51 - $109.37
🎯 Analyst Target: $114.29 (High: $134 | Low: $90)
📊 Market Cap: $194.82B
💎 Dividend Yield: 2.2%
⭐ Technical Signal: STRONG BUY
🎭 THE HEIST PLAN | Day/Swing Trade Setup
🧭 Strategy: Bullish Hull Moving Average Pullback Entry
Ladies and gentlemen, gather 'round! 👨💼👩💼 We've got ourselves a proper bank heist brewing with Citigroup. The Hull Moving Average just gave us the green light for a pullback entry, and the vault door is wide open. Time to execute the perfect layered entry strategy! 💼🔓
🎯 ENTRY ZONE - The "Thief Layering Strategy" 🥷
Multiple Limit Order Layers (Scale In Approach):
🔹 Layer 1: $106.00
🔹 Layer 2: $108.00
🔹 Layer 3: $110.00
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your own capital allocation and risk appetite. This isn't financial advice—just showing you how the pros layer into positions like a proper heist team! 😎
⚠️ Note: Current price is trading at $109.26, so Layer 2 and 3 are in play NOW! Layer 1 is your safety net if we get a deeper pullback.
🛑 STOP LOSS - The Escape Route 🚪
SL: $104.00 ❌
⚠️ Dear Thief OG's: This is MY stop loss level based on my technical analysis and risk management. You're the captain of your own ship! 🚢 Set your own stop based on YOUR risk tolerance. Remember: preserve capital to fight another day! 💰
💰 TARGET - The Loot Bag 💼
TP: $116.00 🎯✨
🚨 Why $116? Here's the Technical Breakdown:
📍 Strong Resistance Zone - Historical ceiling
📊 Overbought Territory - RSI nearing extremes
Potential Bull Trap - Watch for exhaustion
📉 Correction Zone - Profit-taking area
🏃♂️ THE POLICE ARE WAITING! 👮♂️👮♀️
When we hit that resistance zone with our profit bags, the "market police" (sellers) will be waiting to catch us. Time to be smart—take profits in stages and ESCAPE with the loot! Don't be greedy! 💼💨
⚠️ Dear Thief OG's: Again, this is MY target. You do you! Take profits when YOU feel comfortable. Your money, your rules, your risk! 🎲
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH | Correlation Play 🌐
Keep your eyes on these banking sector correlations:
🏦 Direct Banking Sector:
NYSE:JPM (JPMorgan Chase) - The big daddy of banks, moves similar to C
NYSE:BAC (Bank of America) - Retail banking giant, correlates strongly
NYSE:WFC (Wells Fargo) - Domestic focus, sector momentum indicator
NYSE:GS (Goldman Sachs) - Investment banking correlation
📊 Key Correlation Points:
✅ Sector Rotation: When financials heat up, these all move together
✅ Fed Policy: Interest rate decisions impact ALL banking stocks
✅ Economic Data: GDP, employment, and inflation = banking fuel ⛽
✅ Credit Market: Corporate lending trends affect the entire sector
💡 Why Watch These?
If NYSE:JPM or NYSE:BAC breaks out first, $C usually follows! Smart thieves watch the entire crew, not just their own target! 🎯
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS HIGHLIGHTS
🔹 Hull Moving Average: Bullish pullback confirmed ✅
🔹 Volume: Above average, showing institutional interest 📊
🔹 Trend: Strong uptrend since $55 lows, up +97% YTD 🚀
🔹 Momentum: Building bullish momentum post-pullback ⚡
🔹 52-Week High: Just made fresh highs at $109.37 🏔️
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT - Don't Be a Rookie! 🎓
🛡️ Never risk more than 1-2% of your portfolio on a single trade
📊 Scale in with layers—don't go all-in at once!
🔄 Trail your stop loss as price moves in your favor
💰 Take partial profits at resistance levels
🧠 Trade what you see, not what you think!
🎬 FINAL THOUGHTS
This setup is clean, technical, and backed by real market data. Citigroup is showing strength, analyst targets support higher prices, and the Hull MA pullback gives us a strategic entry. But remember—this is YOUR money and YOUR decision! 💪
The vault is open, the plan is set, now we execute! But do it smart, do it calculated, and most importantly—do it YOUR way! 🎯💼
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
⚖️ DISCLAIMER
🎭 This is the "Thief Style" trading strategy—just for fun and educational purposes!
#Citigroup #C #NYSE #BankingStocks #Financials #HullMovingAverage #PullbackStrategy #DayTrading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #BullishSetup #TradingIdeas #StockAnalysis #RiskManagement #LayeringStrategy #ThiefStyle #JPMorgan #BankOfAmerica #SectorRotation #FinancialSector #WallStreet #TradingCommunity #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction
Citigroup - Small Downside MoveLooking at NYSE:C
We still need to complete the impulsive decline in Wave C within the expanded flat structure.
This overlaps the fifth wave of the advance.
In theory, price could move even lower.
Key targets:
104
100
Potential move from current levels: ~5-8%
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Citigroup (C) Bullish Continuation via HULL MA Pullback🚀 CITIGROUP LAYERED ENTRY PLAYBOOK: THE THIEF STRATEGY 💰
NYSE: C | Bullish Swing Trade Setup | Hull Moving Average Pullback Activation
📊 SETUP OVERVIEW 🎯
The banking titan Citigroup is setting up a beautiful bullish retracement opportunity! After a commanding rally pushing price action into overbought territory, we're positioning for a strategic pullback entry utilizing the legendary Hull Moving Average as our confirmation indicator. This isn't just another setup—it's a layered institutional-style entry strategy designed to maximize risk-reward through multiple scaling levels.
Current Market Price: 💵 $123.46 USD (+0.12%) | 52-Week Range: $55.51 - $124.17
🎪 THE THIEF STRATEGY FRAMEWORK
Master the art of precision entries with multi-tier limit orders
Our approach abandons the FOMO trap and implements sophisticated accumulation methodology. Rather than chasing price in real-time, we strategically place limit orders at declining price levels—capturing premium entry points as sellers capitulate.
🔓 ENTRY LEVELS - THE LAYERED ACCUMULATION APPROACH
🔴 Tier 1 @ $114.00 — Initial dip buyers activation zone (25% position)
🟠 Tier 2 @ $115.00 — Secondary support confluence (25% position)
🟡 Tier 3 @ $116.00 — Hull MA proximity validation (25% position)
🟢 Tier 4 @ $117.00 — Ascending trend reversal confirmation (25% position)
Pro Tip: You control your destiny here! Customize these layers based on your risk tolerance and position sizing. Want smaller positions? Reduce tier allocations. Going aggressive? Add layers at $113.50 and $117.50. This is YOUR game. 🎲
🎯 PROFIT TARGET - THE RESISTANCE BARRICADE
PRIMARY TARGET: 💎 $121.50 USD
This level represents a critical confluence zone where:
✅ Prior swing resistance creates a "police barricade" effect
✅ Overbought RSI conditions suggest potential trap-style reversals
✅ Risk-reward ratio maximizes at approximately 1:3.5 on Tier 1 entries
✅ Multiple failed breakout attempts provide statistical confirmation
Strategy Note: Once price reaches $121.50, monitor for either breakout confirmation or trap signals. Take partial profits and let winners run—that's the Thief OG way! 🎰
🛑 STOP LOSS PLACEMENT - THE THIEF'S ESCAPE HATCH
HARD STOP: 🔥 $113.00 USD
This level sits approximately 1% below our lowest entry tier, providing:
⚔️ Tight risk containment (ideal for position sizing)
⚔️ Clear daily chart support validation
⚔️ Defined loss parameter for risk management protocols
Critical Disclaimer: We do NOT recommend setting this exact stop loss—it's OUR baseline. Your stop should align with YOUR risk appetite and portfolio parameters. Only you know your account tolerance! 💪
📈 TECHNICAL FRAMEWORK - HULL MOVING AVERAGE CONFIRMATION
The Hull Moving Average serves as our directional compass:
🔷 Bullish Crossover Signal: When price oscillates above the Hull MA, it confirms uptrend vigor
🔷 Pullback Zones: Current consolidation creates a "springboard" formation typical before explosive moves
🔷 Momentum Rhythm: The gradient slope indicates acceleration potential—this setup leverages that rhythm
Additional Confirmation Indicators:
MACD histogram showing bullish divergence ✨
Volume profile supporting breakout structure 📊
Ichimoku Cloud positioning price above Senkou Span B 🌤️
💼 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC CATALYSTS
Citigroup's Current Narrative (Q4 2025 - 2026):
🏦 Strategic Repositioning: Citi is mid-transformation, spinning off non-core assets while reinvesting heavily in commercial banking and wealth management. This positions the bank for structural profitability improvement.
📊 Earnings Momentum: Q4 2025 showed positive earnings trajectory with management guiding towards 2026 growth acceleration. Analysts project continued upside—12-month consensus target: $133.64 USD (Current upside: +8.3% from technical levels).
💰 Dividend Sustainability: Maintaining a 1.95% yield with consistent payout from adjusted earnings. Demonstrates financial fortress positioning.
🚨 Regulatory Relief: Recent withdrawal of 2024 consent order amendments removes compliance headwinds that previously suppressed valuations. This is a game-changer for institutional buying pressure.
⚡ Macro Headwinds to Monitor:
Credit card interest rate cap discussions (political risk but limited impact on earnings)
Banking sector margin compression from potential rate volatility
Commercial real estate exposure—watch for any CRE market deterioration
Economic Timeline: Next earnings release April 14, 2026—expect pre-announcement rallies if economic data remains supportive.
🌍 CORRELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR
Watching these relationships helps validate our C trade thesis:
🔗 JPM (JPMorgan Chase) - Correlation: 0.87
The bellwether for large-cap banking. If JPM breaks above $195, expect C to follow with conviction. Watch for sector rotation into financial services during equity market pullbacks.
🔗 BAC (Bank of America) - Correlation: 0.84
Consumer banking proxy. BAC strength validates thesis that retail banking normalization supports sector-wide upside. Key level: $38.50 breakout suggests C could gap higher.
🔗 GS (Goldman Sachs) - Correlation: 0.79
Investment banking indicator. GS moves often precede institutional capital reallocation toward Citi's commercial banking division. Watch quarterly M&A activity levels.
🔗 XLF (Financials ETF) - Correlation: 0.91
Macro sector barometer. XLF $42+ levels unlock synchronized financial sector rallies. Use as confirmation for our entry triggers.
🔗 TLT (Treasury Bonds) - Inverse Correlation: -0.65
Rising bond yields = wider net interest margins = bank profitability tailwinds. Watch for TLT weakness to confirm bullish C setup.
Key Insight: Monitor these correlations during pre-market hours. If JPM/BAC spike on positive earnings, front-run C entries by 30 minutes—institutions often cascade capital allocation sequentially. 📡
💡 WHY THIS SETUP WORKS
✨ Probability Stacking: Multiple confirmation signals (technical, fundamental, correlative) reduce false breakout risk
✨ Asymmetric Reward: 1% risk capturing 3.5% upside = institutional-grade risk-reward
✨ Market Psychology: Thief layering exploits capitulation—each tier entry captures panic selling exhaustion
✨ Regulatory Tailwinds: Consent order relief provides surprise catalyst potential
✨ Sector Rotation: Banking stocks entering leadership cycle as macro data stabilizes
⚠️ TRADE MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK
Upon Entry Execution:
1️⃣ Once ANY tier fills, set a mental "trail stop" 2% below entry
2️⃣ At 50% of target ($119.75), close 50% position
3️⃣ Move stop to breakeven on remaining position (shift winners to risk-free)
4️⃣ At target ($121.50), evaluate breakout potential or reverse
If Target Breaks:
🎯 Target breached above $122? Ride momentum to next resistance: $124.00 (52-week high vicinity)
🎯 Rejection at target? Treat as distribution zone, reduce exposure, prepare for retest of entries
If Stop Hits ($113.00):
The trade is invalidated—market structure changed. Don't revenge trade. Wait for fresh setup confirmation. Loss management beats hope. 📍
🎪 FINAL THIEF OG BLESSING
The chart doesn't lie. The fundamentals support upside. The correlations validate the thesis. The risk-reward screams "institutional quality."
Now it's YOUR move. Place those limit orders. Manage your risk. Take your profits. And remember—the best trade is one where you sleep soundly knowing your downside is protected. That's how Thief OGs survive and thrive in markets that test conviction daily. 🏆
May your entries be filled and your exits be profitable, legends. This is NOT financial advice—it's a technical framework for YOUR analysis. Trade what YOU see, not what I see. 🚀
Citigroup Clears Regulatory Hurdle as Stock Breaks HigherCitigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) has cleared another important regulatory milestone, reinforcing its long-running turnaround narrative. U.S. regulators have withdrawn a 2024 amendment tied to a 2020 consent order, easing part of the oversight burden linked to Citi’s historical risk and compliance failures. While the original 2020 order remains in place, the move signals growing confidence in management’s efforts to modernize systems, improve data governance, and strengthen internal controls.
Fundamentally, this development is incremental but meaningful. Citi has spent years under intense regulatory scrutiny, including over $500 million in fines related to operational weaknesses. The removal of the amendment reduces the risk of restrictions on capital distribution, such as dividends and buybacks, provided progress continues. Combined with recent reports that the Federal Reserve has closed several confidential notices related to trading risk management, Citi’s regulatory overhang appears to be slowly lifting. In a higher-for-longer rate environment, large banks like Citi also benefit from net interest income stability, while restructuring efforts aim to improve efficiency and return on equity over the medium term.
Technical Analysis:
The long-term weekly chart shows Citi breaking decisively above a multi-year resistance zone near the mid-$80s, an area that capped price action multiple times since 2018. Price is now trading above the 50-, 100-, and 200-week moving averages, a strong bullish alignment that confirms a structural trend shift.
Momentum indicators remain elevated, reflecting strong buying pressure, though short-term consolidation would be healthy after the sharp rally toward the $110–$115 region. If price holds above the former resistance-turned-support zone ($80–$85), the technical outlook favors continuation toward higher long-term targets. A failure back below that zone would be the first warning of exhaustion, but for now, the trend remains firmly constructive.
Breakout With Follow-Through – Target $106The price has broken out of an ascending triangle pattern formed between $95 and $98, showing strong follow-through. This breakout signals continuation of the prevailing uptrend.
Technical Setup: Clear series of higher lows, resistance around $97.50–$98 finally broken with a strong bullish candle.
Target: Measured move projects to around $106 ±0.5, based on the height of the triangle added to the breakout level.
Stop Loss: Immediate invalidation below $96.80 (breakout failure).
Alternative Exit: If the breakout shows soft weakness (limited follow-through, mild pullback), a wider stop can be placed under $95 (bottom of the triangle) to allow for a retest before resuming trend.
This structure suggests bullish continuation as long as price remains above the breakout zone. A retest of $97.50–$98 could offer a secondary entry opportunity.
Watching for Pullback Below $84 in Citigroup (C)Over the past month, Citigroup shares have appreciated 8.58%, outperforming both the Finance sector's 1.91% gain and the S&P 500's 3.92% increase. This relative outperformance may signal strength, but short-term positioning and market structure suggest a potential shift.
Expecting a Sharp Move Below $84 – Option Flow Insight
Despite the recent strength, I anticipate a significant downward move below the $84 level in the upcoming week. This expectation is based on notable option activity detected in the Times & Sales feed, specifically large put orders suggesting bearish positioning.
In response to this setup, I plan to execute a bearish vertical spread, specifically:
Buying the $84 puts
Selling the $80 puts
This strategy limits downside risk while still profiting from a potential retracement.
Fundamental Picture Ahead of Earnings
Citigroup's next earnings release is scheduled for July 15, 2025. The company is expected to report:
EPS of $1.70 (+11.84% YoY)
Revenue of $20.85B (+3.51% YoY)
For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimate forecasts:
EPS of $7.38 (+24.03%)
Revenue of $83.84B (+3.33%)
While these figures suggest healthy growth, it's important to note that recent analyst estimate revisions have been modestly negative, with the EPS estimate decreasing 0.27% over the last 30 days. Citigroup currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), reflecting a neutral sentiment from analysts.
Valuation Metrics
From a valuation standpoint:
Forward P/E: 10.75, notably below the industry average of 15.02
PEG ratio: 0.61, versus the industry average of 1.26
This indicates that Citigroup is undervalued relative to its peers, especially when considering growth prospects, which could provide some support. However, short-term bearish flows may dominate price action heading into earnings.
Industry Outlook
The Financial - Investment Bank industry, which includes Citigroup, currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 96, placing it in the top 40% of over 250 industry groups. Historically, industries in the top half outperform those in the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
US Banks on Fire | Revenues Soar, and So Do the ProfitsWho Needs a Recession? Banks Are Swimming in Cash!
The largest U.S. banks have reported some of their best quarterly performances in recent years, with surging trading revenues, a resurgence in dealmaking, and an overall renewal of corporate confidence playing pivotal roles. Let’s break down the key details of the results.
Market Recovery
Across the major banks, investment banking and trading activities recorded impressive performances. Goldman Sachs saw investment banking revenue increase by 24%, while Bank of America (BofA) experienced a massive 44% jump, marking its strongest quarter in three years.
The market volatility stemming from factors like the U.S. election and changing expectations around interest rates continued to fuel robust trading revenues. Morgan Stanley’s equities division, for example, reached an all-time high, while JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs enjoyed notable gains in fixed-income trading.
A surge in CEO optimism has led to an uptick in mergers and acquisitions (M&A), initial public offerings (IPOs), and private credit demand. Morgan Stanley, in particular, is seeing the largest M&A pipeline in seven years, signaling a sustained wave of dealmaking.
Mixed Results for NII
Net interest income showed varying results across the banks, but forward guidance indicates that NII will likely see moderate growth in 2025, spurred by continued loan demand and higher asset yields.
Credit Risks on the Rise
Consumer lending pressures have persisted, with JPMorgan’s charge-offs rising by 9%. Many banks are preparing for a further increase in delinquencies, particularly in credit cards.
Commercial Real Estate Challenges
While the office sector remains under stress, banks are managing their exposures cautiously and have yet to face significant shocks in this area.
Regulatory Scrutiny Continues
Citigroup lowered its 2026 profitability target as it undergoes a transformation, while Bank of America faced increased scrutiny over its anti-money laundering compliance.
Resilient U.S. Economy
Banks are reporting strong consumer spending, loan growth, and corporate profitability, which supports an optimistic outlook for earnings growth heading into 2025.
Performance Breakdown for Each Bank
JPMorgan Chase
- JPMorgan posted a record annual net income of $58.5 billion, marking an 18% increase from the previous year.
- Investment banking saw a 46% surge in revenue, driven by strong advisory and equity underwriting.
- Trading revenue climbed by 21%, led by a 20% increase in fixed-income trading.
- Despite the impressive results, JPMorgan is still facing challenges such as rising charge-offs and pressures on loan margins. CEO Jamie Dimon emphasized concerns about persistent inflation and growing geopolitical risks.
Bank of America
- BofA experienced an 11% year over year growth in revenue, reaching $25.3 billion, with net income up 112% from the previous year.
- The investment banking division saw a dramatic 44% rise in revenue, the highest in three years, thanks to strong debt and equity underwriting.
- Trading revenue grew by 10%, driven by solid performance in fixed income (up 13%) and equities (up 6%) as market volatility spurred client activity.
- BofA also reported growth in its consumer and wealth management divisions, with credit card fees and asset management showing strength. Client balances grew to $4.3 trillion, a 12% increase from the previous year.
- After several quarters of decline, BofA’s NII grew by 3%, exceeding expectations and signaling stability. The bank expects NII to continue rising through 2025, with projections of $15.7 billion per quarter by the end of the year.
Wells Fargo
- Wells Fargo’s revenue remained flat at $20.4 billion, but net income surged by 50%.
- NII declined by 8% year-over-year but is expected to rise slightly in 2025 due to higher reinvestment rates on maturing assets.
- The bank made significant progress in cost-cutting efforts, reducing non-interest expenses by 12%, thanks to workforce reductions and efficiency initiatives.
- Investment banking fees rose by 59%, benefiting from the broader market recovery and the bank’s renewed focus on its Wall Street presence.
- Wells Fargo returned $25 billion to shareholders in 2024, including a 15% dividend increase and $20 billion in stock buybacks. However, the bank continues to face regulatory constraints, notably the asset cap imposed by the Federal Reserve.
- Looking ahead to 2025, Wells Fargo anticipates modest growth in fee-based revenue, with cost discipline and efficiency gains driving improvements.
Morgan Stanley
- Morgan Stanley saw a 26% increase in revenue, reaching $16.2 billion, while net income soared by 142%.
- Equity trading revenue jumped by 51%, setting a new all-time high as market volatility sparked increased client activity, particularly in prime brokerage and risk-repositioning trades.
- Investment banking revenue grew by 25%, fueled by strong demand for debt underwriting, stock sales, and M&A activity. CEO Ted Pick noted that the M&A pipeline is the strongest in seven years, signaling a potential multi-year recovery in dealmaking.
- Morgan Stanley’s wealth management division saw $56.5 billion in net new assets, increasing total client assets to $7.9 trillion. The firm is pushing toward its goal of $10 trillion in assets under management.
- In response to growing business complexities, the firm launched a new Integrated Firm Management division to streamline services across investment banking, trading, and wealth management.
Goldman Sachs
- Goldman Sachs experienced a 23% increase in revenue, reaching $13.9 billion, while net income more than doubled, up 105%.
- Record performance in equity trading contributed to a 32% increase in revenue from this segment, as market volatility drove greater client activity.
- Investment banking revenue grew by 24%, boosted by significant gains in equity and debt underwriting.
- The firm’s asset management division saw an 8% rise in assets under management, reaching $3.1 trillion, while management fees exceeded $10 billion for the year.
- Goldman is winding down legacy balance-sheet investments but also saw a gain of $472 million from these investments in Q4. The firm’s recent launch of its Capital Solutions Group is aimed at capturing growth opportunities in private credit and alternative financing.
Citigroup
- Citigroup posted a 12% increase in revenue, reaching $19.6 billion, with non-interest revenue surging 62%.
- Fixed-income and equity markets were key drivers, growing 37% and 34%, respectively, as market volatility tied to the U.S. election boosted performance.
- Investment banking revenue climbed by 35%, supported by strong corporate debt issuance and a pickup in dealmaking activity.
- The bank unveiled a $20 billion stock repurchase program, signaling confidence in future earnings.
- Citigroup also made strides in controlling operating expenses, which declined by 2% quarter-over-quarter. However, the bank lowered its 2026 return on tangible common equity (RoTCE) guidance to 10%-11% due to the costs of its ongoing transformation.
- CEO Jane Fraser emphasized Citigroup’s long-term growth trajectory, noting improvements in credit quality and continued progress with the strategic overhaul, including the postponed IPO of Banamex, the bank’s Mexican retail unit, now expected in 2026.
Long story short
Heading into 2025, the major U.S. banks are in strong positions, buoyed by a favorable economic backdrop, continued growth in trading, and a rebound in corporate dealmaking. Despite challenges such as rising credit risks, regulatory hurdles, and potential macroeconomic uncertainties, the outlook remains positive. With a recovering IPO market, continued wealth management growth, and strong trading revenue, the banks are poised to capitalize on the renewed corporate optimism. The key question will be whether the dealmaking frenzy continues or whether uncertainties in the global economy and market dynamics could temper the rally.
Is Citigroup (C) the Most Undervalued Big Bank Right Now?🔥Let’s talk numbers:
🧮 P/E: 9.78x
💸 P/S: 0.66x
That’s deep value — Wall Street’s sleeping on this one. While everyone's chasing AI, Citigroup is trading at garage sale prices.
🧠 The Setup:
If you're into swing plays with strong R/R and macro upside, C is worth a look.
🔑 Entry Zones: 1️⃣ Market price — for early bulls
2️⃣ $55 — breakout confirmation
3️⃣ $48 — bargain bin steal
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $70 🟢
TP2: $78 🚀
TP3: $84 💰
💬 Why it matters:
Citi has been lagging behind peers like JPM, but it’s still a beast. If the Fed holds or cuts, banks could catch a serious bid — and this one’s ready to pop from a value base.
📌 Watching volume at $55 and any macro shifts as catalysts.
👀 Don’t ignore this one just because it’s not trending. That’s where smart money hides.
📢 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Just sharing ideas and setups I’m watching. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
#Citigroup #C #Undervalu
#Citigroup #C #UndervaluedStocks #SwingTrade #TradingSetup #DeepValue #Banking #PEratio #SmartMoneyMoves #StockMarket #Financials #Watchlist
Citigroup Stock Nears Key Level After EarningsCitigroup’s stock has gained over 2% in the last trading session, as its latest earnings results have supported a moderately bullish bias on the current price chart. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.96, beating the expected $1.85, while revenue reached $21.6 billion, exceeding the forecast of $21.29 billion. These positive figures triggered a bullish price gap, which is currently sustaining steady upward pressure on the stock.
Downtrend in Focus
Despite the recent upward movement, the chart continues to show a consistent downtrend that has been in place since February 18. Although buying momentum has increased in recent sessions, the price remains within the broader bearish trend, which still dominates in the short term. For now, this trendline continues to be the most relevant technical structure to watch.
MACD
For the first time in nearly 10 sessions, the MACD histogram has returned to the zero line after a prolonged period in negative territory. This may indicate a strengthening bullish momentum. Additionally, both the MACD line and the signal line are showing signs of a bullish crossover, further highlighting potential short-term buying interest. If these technical conditions persist, buying pressure may become increasingly relevant.
Momentum
The momentum indicator over the last 10 sessions has maintained a steady upward slope, gradually approaching the neutral zero line. This reinforces the outlook for a renewed buying push in the price action.
Both technical indicators are currently signaling a slight increase in bullish momentum. However, the price still needs to challenge the 200-period moving average — a key resistance level — to confirm a clearer short-term direction.
Key Levels:
$56 – Key Support: This level represents the recent weekly lows. A move down to this area could strengthen the prevailing downtrend.
$68 – Near Resistance: Aligned with the 200-period moving average, a breakout above this level could challenge the current downtrend and confirm renewed bullish strength in the short term.
$73 – Distant Resistance: This level aligns with the 100-period moving average. Price action approaching this area could confirm the emergence of a new upward trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Bank of America (BAC) Shares Drop Over 6%Bank of America (BAC) Shares Drop Over 6%
On 18 February, we reported that Warren Buffett was selling bank stocks, including Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C). This proved to be a sharp decision, as yesterday:
→ Bank of America (BAC) shares fell by 6.34%
→ Citigroup (C) shares fell by 6.25%
As a result, BAC stock hit its lowest level of 2025.
Why Did Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C) Shares Decline?
Investor bearish sentiment may have been driven by concerns over:
→ New US tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada
→ The risk of renewed inflation growth amid an economic slowdown
This led to a broader decline in financial sector stocks yesterday.
Technical Analysis of Bank of America (BAC)
The chart shows that in 2024, the price was in an upward trend (illustrated by the blue channel), but the $48 level proved too strong for bulls to break. Key observations:
→ In mid-February, a bearish breakout occurred below the channel, and in early March, the same level acted as resistance
→ The $44 level has influenced the trend in the past and could now act as resistance again
→ A drop below the late-December low may indicate a Change of Character (ChoCh) pattern, signalling a potential market shift
BAC Stock Price Forecasts
Analysts remain optimistic. According to TipRanks:
→ 17 out of 19 analysts recommend buying BAC stock
→ The average 12-month price target for BAC is $53
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C Citigroup Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought C before the breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of C Citigroup prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 70usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $6.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Citigroup ($C): Fourth Test of Key Levels Since 2018The shares of Citigroup gained an impressive 7% today following its earnings report, which delivered a beat ✅. The company is projecting revenue between $83.5 billion and $84.5 billion for 2025, up from $81.1 billion last year and $77.1 billion in the year prior (excluding divestitures). Positive news for both the company and its investors!
We’ve been monitoring NYSE:C but haven’t found a trigger yet—this might change soon.
The stock is approaching its most significant resistance zone since 2018, a level tested three times in the past. Could the fourth test finally break through? We remain cautious, expecting that another pullback, even a minor one, might be necessary to push past $83. If this pullback materializes, we’ll evaluate opportunities to position ourselves.
Currently, there’s a bearish RSI divergence, and unless the stock can make a higher high compared to 2021, another major pullback remains possible. However, a short position doesn’t align with our strategy at the moment. We’d need to see a lower time frame structure change to consider that route.
This stock doesn’t lend itself well to Elliott Wave analysis as it has been trending sideways for years, and we’re not forcing patterns onto it.
Stay alert for future opportunities on NYSE:C
4 Big Banks and their relation to KBEWeekly time frame....White line front runs a
change in direction...be it temporary or permanent
to long to explain...but white peak before blue peak
and things head down...if blue continues with white
or stays flat...there is little change to direction
or price just chops sideways a bit.
use other indicators to confirm...but white line can
bounce off or hug envelope channel and explain price
--------
The 4 headless horsemen of banking are next to each other...
Does something seem quite interesting among them since each is way different in area of investment...political control...money-metals exposure....MBS and the like...
So why are three pretty close to copies if you glance for more than a second or two, yet the fourth is somewhat similar but trending differently...
Just an interesting thought experiment
Big Citibank Opportunity Citibank Opportunity - NYSE:C
Company Market Cap: $82.2 billion
Share Price Today: $42.68
Dividend: 0.53c per quarter (Annual Dividend of c.$2.06)
Annual Dividend Yield: 4.82%
Next Earnings Report: Friday 13th October 2023
Citibank (Citigroup) is the 20th largest bank in the world & a member of Global Systemically Important Financial Institutions (G-SIFIs) meaning it has stricter prudential regulation such as higher capital requirements and extra surcharges and more stringent stress tests. under the scheme deposits can be 100% guaranteed in the event of a crisis, which is not the case for smaller banks that are not considered systemically important. This additional security can add weight to a longer term hold for Citibank combined with a good 4.82% dividend yield.
Citibank has recently been in the headlines with negative news for completing a management re-org with substantial lay-offs. Whilst the news is interpreted as negative, the chart appears to reaching a point of exhaustion after 31 months of downward price pressure and a roughly 50% reduction in price from $81 down to $42. We may be forming a 3rd higher price cluster or price launch pad here at $42.
Earnings release is in a 4 and half weeks on 13thOctober and after 13 quarters of positive earnings the trend is green. Its worth noting that upon earnings release, the price can capitulate or ascend aggressively (historically this has been the way), this is why it is important to be placing bids or positions well in advance of the release (now) and on the day of the release we should be nimble and on our toes to capitalize or reduce risk with stop losses. Obviously for long term position players this is not all that important, we have our long term target and stop loss on the chart.
There is a long term trade opportunity with a stop loss at BASE 2 at $34.37. As you can see the trade has a Risk/Reward of 4:1. People who want to play it even safer could wait for a bounce off BASE 2 but for me a retracement this low could mean lower price momentum and a break of the RSI resistance. This is why I am inclined to take a position now off this base well in advance of the earnings release.
This is not my typical style of trade however I could not pass up the chart given the mid-term 31 month 50% reduction and exhaustion in price combined with the higher bases on the longer term trajectory, and to be honest the negative news really got me the contrarian in me rustled. If you look hard enough you can see a potential long term ascending triangle forming out into the 5 year time horizon. As a cherry to the trade, the dividend yield is considerably high at 4.82% for a systemically important institution – to big to fail.
In Summary
- Citigroup is one of the top 20 banks in the world
and is considered systemically important.
- Citigroup share price has been declining 31 months
with an approx. 50% reduction in price.
- Three Price Bases establishing higher lows are
reinforced by a rising RSI support line.
- To fully take advantage of the earnings release on
13th October 2023 positions need to be placed now
as the stock is extremely volatile on the day of
release.
- If the RSI support line fails to hold this could be a
warning signal of a break down into STRONG
SUPPORT ZONE (Red).
- The dividend yield is considerably high at 4.82% for
a systemically important institution offering a little
incentive for a longer term hold.
C Citigroup Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on Citigroup:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of C Citigroup prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 65usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $2.37.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.






















