IvanLabrie

Nikkei: Fade overbought rallies

Short
IvanLabrie Updated   
FX:JPN225   Nikkei 225 Index
Nikkei is consolidating forming a bell curve, if you look at the profile shape from the low.
The weekly downtrend that fired in August has now expired, which means there's a possibility that price goes up to retest the downtrend mode.
I see this as improbable and would suggest looking for shorts once the targets on chart are hit, or the low volume resistance zones tested.

The last daily leg implies further upside, but rgmov is at abysmal levels and forms new lows, so, it's possible that this move fails and it heads down from here.
If that were the case, next week we will have a new mode, lower, so we could look for time at mode trend signals, which would more or less imply the Nikkei will travel down to test previous support levels.
Once we have clarity here, we will know wether to consider Yen longs or not. For the time being, I'd only try short term swing trades in the yen pairs.

Regards,
Ivan Labrie

Time at Mode FX
Comment:
No range expansion out of the mode yet, but the breakout up looks likely. You can go long using Tim West's entry at 18450, sl 18250. My targets should be viable, higher is a longer shot but also possible.

🔒Want to dive deeper? Check out my paid services below🔒

ivanlabrie.substack.com/
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.