dorfmanmaster

Is it time to invest in China?

Long
dorfmanmaster Updated   
AMEX:KWEB   KraneShares Trust KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF
KWEB is a China technology based ETF.

Top 10 holdings by weight:
  • Tencent Holdings ~ 10.62%
  • Alibaba Group Holding ~ 10.32%
  • JD.com ~ 7.21%
  • Meituan ~ 6.99%
  • Pinduoduo Inc ~ 6.97%
  • NetEase Inc ~ 4.71%
  • Baidu Inc ~ 4.27%
  • Bilibili Inc ~ 3.83%
  • Trip.com Group ~ 3.82%
  • JD Health International ~ 3.32%

Fundamental Analysis
  • China’s stock market pullback this year has been in line with the average annual drawdown (approximately 30%); historically, this volatility has tended to produce double-digit annualized gains.
  • In terms of seasonality, over the past 20 years, October has been amongst the strongest months for the Chinese stock market.

Technical Analysis
  • The 50sma has been tested as resistance 3 times before. A breakout above the 50sma could signal a significant change in trend.
  • The RSI has shown a positive divergence, as the last three times, we tested the horizontal line (blue arrow), in each case RSI is showing higher lows.
Comment:
First break-out of the 50sma in over 6 months.
Comment:
Break of the 50sma is successful, as we test it as support and have stayed above there for over 5 trading days now.
Comment:
testing 50sma

sentiment getting worst but price is king
Comment:
Price entered a range.

We could see some accumulation.
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