FRED:MORTGAGE30US   30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States
- 30y mortgage interest rate breaking a 40yo trend.
- MBB down while being used by big players as collateral.
- DXY breaking a 40yo trend (not in the chart) can cause bond defaults around the world.
- Fed has only started raising rates.

* If MBB keeps going down, might see some marge call and flash crashes in the market.
* If MORTGAGE30 keeps going up, will increase the mortgage default, having 2008 back at it. (DRSFRMACBS)
* If bond defaults start around the globe (Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Egypt, Kenia), DXY will keep going up, making the US exports dump (12% GDP)

+ To avoid foreign bond defaults, Fed can make currency swaps with other central banks, to avoid pumping the DXY.
+ To avoid margin calls and mortgage defaults, Fed can slow down the rate hikes.
+ To avoid the inflation hitting people's pocket, they might re-launch covid stimmies for "food and gas".

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.